Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35028511›Full record

ArticleBMJ nutrition, prevention & health2021

Effect of reducing ultraprocessed food consumption on obesity among US children and adolescents aged 7-18 years: evidence from a simulation model.

Anne Scott Livingston, Frederick Cudhea, Lu Wang, Euridice Martinez Steele, Mengxi Du, Y Claire Wang, Jennifer Pomeranz, Dariush Mozaffarian, Fang Fang Zhang, Food-PRICE project

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ nutrition, prevention & health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Anne Scott LivingstonFriedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Frederick CudheaFriedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Lu WangFriedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Euridice Martinez SteeleDepartment of Nutrition, School of Public Health, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Mengxi DuFriedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6406-7250
Y Claire WangDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York, USA.
Jennifer PomeranzDepartment of Public Health Policy and Management, School of Global Public Health, New York University, New York, New York, USA.
Dariush MozaffarianFriedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Fang Fang ZhangFriedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Food-PRICE project

Funding

Comparative and Cost-Effectiveness of Population Strategies to Improve Diet and Reduce CancerR01MD011501 · NIMHD · TUFTS UNIVERSITY BOSTON · PI ZHANG, FANG FANG · 2016 to 2019
$2.0M
NIMHD NIH HHS R01 MD011501
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChildren and adolescents in the USA consume large amounts of daily calories from ultraprocessed foods (UPFs). Recent evidence links UPF consumption to increased body fat in youth. We aimed to estimate the potential impact of reducing UPF consumption on childhood obesity rate in the USA.

methodsWe developed a microsimulation model to project the effect of reducing UPF consumption in children's diet on reducing the prevalence of overweight or obesity among US youth. The model incorporated nationally representative data on body mass index (BMI) percentile and dietary intake of 5804 children and adolescents aged 7-18 years from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011-2016, and the effect of reducing UPF consumption on calorie intake from a recent randomised controlled trial. Uncertainties of model inputs were incorporated using probabilistic sensitivity analysis with 1000 simulations.

resultsReducing UPFs in children's diet was estimated to result in a median of -2.09 kg/m

conclusionsReducing UPF consumption in children's diet has the potential to substantially reduce childhood obesity rate among children and adolescents in the USA.

Indexed as

dietary patterns

Identifiers

PMID35028511
PMCPMC8718854

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.