ArticleBMC public health2022
Secular trends in chronic respiratory diseases mortality in Brazil, Russia, China, and South Africa: a comparative study across main BRICS countries from 1990 to 2019.
Article in BMC public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Global, regional, and national burden of chronic respiratory diseases and associated risk factors, 1990-2019: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.Frontiers in medicine · 2023Pooled it
- Global, regional, and national burden of asthma from 1990 to 2021: analysis of data from global disease burden in 2021.BMC pulmonary medicine · 2025Article
- Burden and trends of early-onset gastric cancer in the 11 BRICS countries (2025 expansion): 1990-2021 with projections to 2035.BMC cancer · 2025Article
- Cross-national comparison of inflammatory bowel disease burden in China, Japan, the United States, and India: An age-period-cohort analysis of GBD 2021.Saudi journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Saudi Gastroenterology Association · 2025Article
- Time trends in stomach cancer mortality across the BRICS: an age-period-cohort analysis for the GBD 2021.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Global burden of childhood otitis media attributable to secondhand smoke from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021.Frontiers in pediatrics · 2025Article
- Burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in China from 1990 to 2021: a population-based study.Frontiers in medicine · 2025Article
- Effects of air pollution on global health: evidence from the global burden of disease study in the BRICS countries.International archives of occupational and environmental health · 2024Article
- Global patterns of asthma burden related to environmental risk factors during 1990-2019: an age-period-cohort analysis for global burden of disease study 2019.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2024Article
- Trends, seasonal variations and forecasting of chronic respiratory disease morbidity in charcoal producing areas, northwest Ethiopia: time series analysis.Frontiers in epidemiology · 2024Article
- Urban-Rural Disparity in Mortality Patterns of Respiratory Diseases Among Older Adults - China, 1987-2021.China CDC weekly · 2023Article
- Time trends in the burden of autoimmune diseases across the BRICS: an age-period-cohort analysis for the GBD 2019.RMD open · 2023Article
- Review
- The priority areas and possible pathways for health cooperation in BRICS countries.Global health research and policy · 2023Review
- Global, regional, and national burden of asthma and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.Respiratory research · 2023Article
- Article
- Secular Trends of Mortality and Years of Life Lost Due to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in Wuhan, China from 2010 to 2019: Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Trends and age-period-cohort effects on incidence and mortality of asthma in Sichuan Province, China, 1990-2019.BMC pulmonary medicine · 2022Article
- Clinical trial footprint in BRICS: Improvements seen but needs further affirmative action.Perspectives in clinical researchArticle
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5 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundAs the emerging economies, the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) shared 61.58% of the global chronic respiratory diseases (CRD) deaths in 2017. This study aimed to assess the secular trends in CRD mortality and explore the effects of age, period, and cohort across main BRICS countries.
methodsData were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 and analyzed using the age-period-cohort (APC) model to estimate period and cohort effects between 1990 and 2019. The net drifts, local drifts, longitudinal age curves, period/cohort rate ratios (RRs) were obtained through the APC model.
resultsIn 2019, the CRD deaths across the BRICS were 2.39 (95%UI 1.95 to 2.84) million, accounting for 60.07% of global CRD deaths. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma remained the leading causes of CRD deaths. The age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) have declined across the BRICS since 1990, with the most apparent decline in China. Meanwhile, the downward trends in CRD death counts were observed in China and Russia. The overall net drifts per year were obvious in China (-5.89%; -6.06% to -5.71%), and the local drift values were all below zero in all age groups for both sexes. The age effect of CRD presented increase with age, and the period and cohort RRs were following downward trends over time across countries. Similar trends were observed in COPD and asthma. The improvement of CRD mortality was the most obvious in China, especially in period and cohort effects. While South Africa showed the most rapid increase with age across all CRD categories, and the period and cohort effects were flat.
conclusionsBRICS accounted for a large proportion of CRD deaths, with China and India alone contributing more than half of the global CRD deaths. However, the declines in ASMR and improvements of period and cohort effects have been observed in both sexes and all age groups across main BRICS countries. China stands out for its remarkable reduction in CRD mortality and its experience may help reduce the burden of CRD in developing countries.
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