Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35026992›Full record

Observational studyBMC anesthesiology2022

Development and validation of a risk nomogram for postoperative acute kidney injury in older patients undergoing liver resection: a pilot study.

Yao Yu, Changsheng Zhang, Faqiang Zhang, Chang Liu, Hao Li, Jingsheng Lou, Zhipeng Xu, Yanhong Liu, Jiangbei Cao, Weidong Mi

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract readObservational StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC anesthesiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04922866 (Predictive Nomogram for Postoperative Acute Kidney Injury), which is not on this map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04922866 completednot on this map

Predictive Nomogram for Postoperative Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) in Elderly Patients Following Liver Resection

TypeobservationalSponsorChinese PLA General HospitalRan2020 to 2022Enrolled843ConditionsPostoperative Acute Kidney InjuryArmsno intervention
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Yao Yu *Medical School of Chinese PLA, 28th Fuxing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100853, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0638-0193
Changsheng Zhang *Department of Anesthesiology, The First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, 28th Fuxing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100853, China.
Faqiang ZhangMedical College of Nankai University, 94th Weijin Road, Nankai District, Tianjin, 300074, China.
Chang LiuMedical School of Chinese PLA, 28th Fuxing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100853, China.
Hao LiDepartment of Anesthesiology, The First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, 28th Fuxing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100853, China.
Jingsheng LouDepartment of Anesthesiology, The First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, 28th Fuxing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100853, China.
Zhipeng XuDepartment of Anesthesiology, The First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, 28th Fuxing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100853, China.
Yanhong LiuDepartment of Anesthesiology, The First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, 28th Fuxing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100853, China.
Jiangbei CaoDepartment of Anesthesiology, The First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, 28th Fuxing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100853, China.
Weidong MiMedical School of Chinese PLA, 28th Fuxing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100853, China. wwdd1962@163.com.ORCID 0000-0002-2404-0555
Chinese PLA General Hospital · CNNankai University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPostoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with poor clinical outcomes. Early identification of high-risk patients of developing postoperative AKI can optimize perioperative renal management and facilitate patient survival. The present study aims to develop and validate a nomogram to predict postoperative AKI after liver resection in older patients.

methodsA retrospective observational study was conducted involving data from 843 older patients scheduled for liver resection at a single tertiary high caseload general hospital between 2012 and 2019. The data were randomly divided into training (70%, n = 599) and validation (30%, n = 244) datasets. The training cohort was used to construct a predictive nomogram for postoperative AKI with the logistic regression model which was confirmed by a validation cohort. The model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis in the validation cohort. A summary risk score was also constructed for identifying postoperative AKI patients.

resultsPostoperative AKI occurred in 155 (18.4%) patients and was highly associated with in-hospital mortality (5.2% vs. 0.7%, P <  0.001). The six predictors selected and assembled into the nomogram included age, preexisting chronic kidney disease (CKD), non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) usage, intraoperative hepatic inflow occlusion, blood loss, and transfusion. The predictive nomogram performed well in terms of discrimination with area under ROC curve (AUC) in training (0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.68-0.78) and validation (0.71, 95% CI: 0.63-0.80) datasets. The nomogram was well-calibrated with the Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square value of 9.68 (P = 0.47). Decision curve analysis demonstrated a significant clinical benefit. The summary risk score calculated as the sum of points from the six variables (one point for each variable) performed as well as the nomogram in identifying the risk of AKI (AUC 0.71, 95% CI: 0.66-0.76).

conclusionThis nomogram and summary risk score accurately predicted postoperative AKI using six clinically accessible variables, with potential application in facilitating the optimized perioperative renal management in older patients undergoing liver resection.

trial registrationNCT04922866 , retrospectively registered on clinicaltrials.gov on June 11, 2021.

Indexed as

NomogramsAcute Kidney InjuryAgedChinaFemaleHumansLiverMalePilot ProjectsPostoperative ComplicationsReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentAcute kidney injuryElderly patientsHepatectomyPredictionRenal injuryRisk score

Identifiers

PMID35026992
PMCPMC8756684
OpenAlexW4205351182

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.