Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35025917›Full record

Observational studyPloS one2022

Inpatient COVID-19 mortality has reduced over time: Results from an observational cohort.

Katie Bechman, Mark Yates, Kirsty Mann, Deepak Nagra, Laura-Jane Smith, Andy I Rutherford, Amit Patel, Jimstan Periselneris, David Walder, Richard J B Dobson and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Rehabilitation and COVID-19: systematic review by Cochrane Rehabilitation.European journal of physical and rehabilitation medicine · 2023
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
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  7. Calcium channel blockers may reduce the development of long COVID in females.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Katie BechmanCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7552-0463
Mark YatesCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Kirsty MannCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Deepak NagraCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Laura-Jane SmithKing's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
Andy I RutherfordKing's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
Amit PatelKing's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
Jimstan PeriselnerisKing's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
David WalderKing's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0474-9671
Richard J B DobsonDepartment of Biostatistics and Health Informatics, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Zeljko KraljevicDepartment of Biostatistics and Health Informatics, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
James H T TeoKing's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
William BernalKing's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
Richard BarkerCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
James B GallowayCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Sam NortonCentre for Rheumatic Diseases, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
King's College London · GBKing's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity of London · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_17214Medical Research Council MR/R001332/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Covid-19 pandemic in the United Kingdom has seen two waves; the first starting in March 2020 and the second in late October 2020. It is not known whether outcomes for those admitted with severe Covid were different in the first and second waves.

methodsThe study population comprised all patients admitted to a 1,500-bed London Hospital Trust between March 2020 and March 2021, who tested positive for Covid-19 by PCR within 3-days of admissions. Primary outcome was death within 28-days of admission. Socio-demographics (age, sex, ethnicity), hypertension, diabetes, obesity, baseline physiological observations, CRP, neutrophil, chest x-ray abnormality, remdesivir and dexamethasone were incorporated as co-variates. Proportional subhazards models compared mortality risk between wave 1 and wave 2. Cox-proportional hazard model with propensity score adjustment were used to compare mortality in patients prescribed remdesivir and dexamethasone.

resultsThere were 3,949 COVID-19 admissions, 3,195 hospital discharges and 733 deaths. There were notable differences in age, ethnicity, comorbidities, and admission disease severity between wave 1 and wave 2. Twenty-eight-day mortality was higher during wave 1 (26.1% versus 13.1%). Mortality risk adjusted for co-variates was significantly lower in wave 2 compared to wave 1 [adjSHR 0.49 (0.37, 0.65) p<0.001]. Analysis of treatment impact did not show statistically different effects of remdesivir [HR 0.84 (95%CI 0.65, 1.08), p = 0.17] or dexamethasone [HR 0.97 (95%CI 0.70, 1.35) p = 0.87].

conclusionThere has been substantial improvements in COVID-19 mortality in the second wave, even accounting for demographics, comorbidity, and disease severity. Neither dexamethasone nor remdesivir appeared to be key explanatory factors, although there may be unmeasured confounding present.

Indexed as

Adenosine MonophosphateAgedAlanineCohort StudiesComorbidityCOVID-19COVID-19 Drug TreatmentDexamethasoneFemaleHospitalizationHospital MortalityHumansInpatientsLondonMaleMiddle AgedAdenosine MonophosphateAlanineDexamethasoneremdesivir

Identifiers

PMID35025917
PMCPMC8757902
OpenAlexW4225522857

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.