Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35023617›Full record

ArticleLiver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver2022

Can alcohol control policies reduce cirrhosis mortality? An interrupted time-series analysis in Lithuania.

Alexander Tran, Huan Jiang, Shannon Lange, Jakob Manthey, Mindaugas Štelemėkas, Robertas Badaras, Janina Petkevičienė, Ričardas Radišauskas, Robin Room, Jürgen Rehm

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Interrupted Time Series Design and Analyses in Health Policy Assessment.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Alexander TranCentre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), Institute for Mental Health Policy Research, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-9068-0625
Huan JiangCentre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), Institute for Mental Health Policy Research, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Shannon LangeCentre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), Institute for Mental Health Policy Research, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Jakob MantheyInstitute of Clinical Psychology and Psychotherapy & Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Longitudinal Studies, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
Mindaugas ŠtelemėkasHealth Research Institute, Faculty of Public Health, Lithuanian University of Health Sciences, Kaunas, Lithuania.
Robertas BadarasCentre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), Institute for Mental Health Policy Research, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Janina PetkevičienėHealth Research Institute, Faculty of Public Health, Lithuanian University of Health Sciences, Kaunas, Lithuania.
Ričardas RadišauskasDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Public Health, Lithuanian University of Health Sciences, Kaunas, Lithuania.
Robin RoomCentre for Alcohol Policy Research, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria, Australia.
Jürgen RehmCentre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), Institute for Mental Health Policy Research, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

Funding

Evaluation of the impact of alcohol control policies on morbidity and mortality in Lithuania and other Baltic statesR01AA028224 · NIAAA · CENTRE FOR ADDICTION AND MENTAL HEALTH · PI REHM, JUERGEN T, ŠTELEMĖKAS, MINDAUGAS · 2020 to 2024
$2.2M
NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA028224
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsThe relationship between alcohol consumption and cirrhosis is well established. Policies that can influence population-level use of alcohol should, in turn, impact cirrhosis. We examined the effect of population-level alcohol control policies on cirrhosis mortality rates in Lithuania - a high-income European Union country with high levels of alcohol consumption.

methodsAge-standardized, monthly liver mortality data (deaths per 100,000 adults, aged 15+) from Lithuania were analysed from 2001 to 2018 (n = 216 months) while controlling for economic confounders (gross domestic product and inflation). An interrupted time-series analysis was conducted to estimate the effect of three alcohol control policies implemented in 2008, 2017 and 2018 and the number of cirrhosis deaths averted.

resultsThere was a significant effect of the 2008 (P < .0001) and 2017 (P = .0003) alcohol control policies but a null effect of the 2018 policy (P = .40). Following the 2008 policy, the cirrhosis mortality rate dropped from 4.93 to 3.41 (95% CI: 3.02-3.80) deaths per 100,000 adults, which equated to 493 deaths averted. Further, we found that following the 2017 policy, the mortality rate dropped from 2.85 to 2.01 (95% CI: 1.50-2.52) deaths per 100,000 adults, corresponding to 245 deaths averted.

conclusionsOur findings support the hypothesis that alcohol control policies can have a significant, immediate effect on cirrhosis mortality. These policy measures are cost-effective and aid in reducing the burden of liver disease.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingPublic PolicyAdolescentAdultEthanolHumansLithuaniaLiver CirrhosisEthanolalcohol policyalcohol-related liver diseaseinterrupted time-series analysispopulation-level interventions

Identifiers

PMID35023617
PMCPMC8930681

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.