Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35020623›Full record

ArticleClinical spine surgery2022

Could Machine Learning Better Predict Postoperative C5 Palsy of Cervical Ossification of the Posterior Longitudinal Ligament?

Soo Heon Kim, Sun Ho Lee, Dong Ah Shin

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical spine surgery, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Soo Heon KimDepartment of Neurosurgery, Yonsei University College of Medicine.
Sun Ho LeeDepartment of Neurosurgery, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Dong Ah ShinDepartment of Neurosurgery, Yonsei University College of Medicine.
Yonsei University · KRSungkyunkwan University · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

STUDY

designThis was a retrospective cohort study.

objectiveThe objective of this study was to investigate whether machine learning (ML) can perform better than a conventional logistic regression in predicting postoperative C5 palsy of cervical ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament (OPLL) patients. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: C5 palsy is one of the most common postoperative complications after surgical treatment of OPLL, with an incidence rate of 1.4%-18.4%. ML has recently been used to predict the outcomes of neurosurgery. To our knowledge there has not been a study to predict postoperative C5 palsy of cervical OPLL patient with ML.

methodsFour sampling methods were used for data balancing. Six ML algorithms and conventional logistic regression were used for model development. A total of 35 ML prediction model and 5 conventional logistic prediction models were generated. The performances of each model were compared with the area under the curve (AUC). Patients who underwent surgery for cervical OPLL at our institute from January 1998 to January 2012 were reviewed. Twenty-five variables of each patient were used to make a prediction model.

resultsIn total, 901 patients were included [651 male and 250 female, median age: 55 (49-63), mean±SD: 55.9±9.802]. Twenty-six (2.8%) patients developed postoperative C5 palsy. Age (P=0.043), surgical method (P=0.0112), involvement of OPLL at C1-3 (P=0.0359), and postoperative shoulder pain (P≤0.001) were significantly associated with C5 palsy. Among all ML models, a model using an adaptive reinforcement learning algorithm and downsampling showed the largest AUC (0.88; 95% confidence interval: 0.79-0.96), better than that of logistic regression (0.69; 95% confidence interval: 0.43-0.94).

conclusionsThe ML algorithm seems to be superior to logistic regression for predicting postoperative C5 palsy of OPLL patient after surgery with respect to AUC. Age, surgical method, and involvement of OPLL at C1-C3 were significantly associated with C5 palsy. This study demonstrates that shoulder pain immediately after surgery is closely associated with postoperative C5 palsy of OPLL patient.

Indexed as

Longitudinal LigamentsOssification of Posterior Longitudinal LigamentCervical VertebraeDecompression, SurgicalFemaleHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedOsteogenesisParalysisRetrospective StudiesShoulder PainTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID35020623
PMCPMC9162065
OpenAlexW4205190492

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.