Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35018135›Full record

ArticleExperimental economics2022

Subjective beliefs and economic preferences during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Glenn W Harrison, Andre Hofmeyr, Harold Kincaid, Brian Monroe, Don Ross, Mark Schneider, J Todd Swarthout

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Experimental economics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Glenn W HarrisonDepartment of Risk Management and Insurance, Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, Atlanta, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1837-8020
Andre HofmeyrSchool of Economics, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0003-3771-1917
Harold KincaidSchool of Economics, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0001-5032-815X
Brian MonroeSchool of Philosophy and School of Economics, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0003-0830-9793
Don RossCenter for the Economic Analysis of Risk, Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, Atlanta, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1813-3111
Mark SchneiderCenter for the Economic Analysis of Risk, Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, Atlanta, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5800-3613
J Todd SwarthoutCenter for the Economic Analysis of Risk, Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, Atlanta, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9096-5513

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic presents a remarkable opportunity to put to work all of the research that has been undertaken in past decades on the elicitation and structural estimation of subjective belief distributions as well as preferences over atemporal risk, patience, and intertemporal risk. As contributors to elements of that research in laboratories and the field, we drew together those methods and applied them to an online, incentivized experiment in the United States. We have two major findings. First, the atemporal risk premium during the COVID-19 pandemic appeared to change significantly compared to before the pandemic, consistent with theoretical results of the effect of increased background risk on foreground risk attitudes. Second, subjective beliefs about the cumulative level of deaths evolved dramatically over the period between May and November 2020, a volatile one in terms of the background evolution of the pandemic. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10683-021-09738-3.

Indexed as

COVID-19Risk preferencesSubjective beliefsTime preferences

Identifiers

PMID35018135
PMCPMC8736296

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.