ArticleScientific reports2022
Potential distribution of fall armyworm in Africa and beyond, considering climate change and irrigation patterns.
Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
35 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Plant-parasitic nematode research in the arid desert landscape: a systematic review of challenges and bridging interventions.Frontiers in plant science · 2024Pooled it
- Pesticide Use and Safety Behaviors Among Farmers in Rwanda's Eastern Province: Perspectives from Sector Officers on Drivers, Factors, and Gender Differences.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026Article
- Photodynamic larvicidal activity of magnesium chlorophyllin and magnesium chlorophyllin zinc oxide nanocomposite against Spodoptera frugiperda with non-target safety assessment.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Quantifying yield losses from Bt resilience among maize cultivars in South Africa.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Nano-enabled plant fortification: green-synthesized SiOScientific reports · 2026Article
- Predicting the global distribution of Coffee Bee Hawk Moth (Cephanodes hylas L.) under climate change using MaxEnt.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- When crops fail, forests follow: Agricultural shocks and deforestation in Zambia.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Future Range Shifts in Major Maize Insect Pests Suggest Their Increasing Impacts on Global Maize Production.Insects · 2025Article
- Migration extent and potential economic impact of the fall armyworm in Europe.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Multiple factors contribute to female dominance in migratory bioflows.Open biology · 2025Article
- Atmospheric cold plasma alters plant traits and negatively affects the growth and development of fall armyworm in rice.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Assessing the potential for fall armyworm exchanges between the two American continents across the Mexico-Central America land bridge.PloS one · 2025Article
- Evaluation of overwintering risk of tropical and subtropical insect pests in temperate regions.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Region-Specific Variation in the Electrophysiological Responses of Spodoptera frugiperda (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) to Synthetic Sex Pheromone Compounds.Journal of chemical ecology · 2024Article
- Monitoring and Detection of Insecticide Resistance inInsects · 2024Article
- Article
- The Fall Armyworm and Larger Grain Borer Pest Invasions in Africa: Drivers, Impacts and Implications for Food Systems.Biology · 2024Review
- Validating Indigenous Farmers' Practice in the Management of the Fall ArmywormLife (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Article
- Exposure to Cry1 Toxins Increases Long Flight Tendency in Susceptible but Not in Cry1F-Resistant FemaleInsects · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
11 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The fall armyworm, Spodoptera frugiperda (FAW), first invaded Africa in 2016 and has since become established in many areas across the continent where it poses a serious threat to food and nutrition security. We re-parameterized the existing CLIMEX model to assess the FAW global invasion threat, emphasizing the risk of transient and permanent population establishment in Africa under current and projected future climates, considering irrigation patterns. FAW can establish itself in almost all countries in eastern and central Africa and a large part of western Africa under the current climate. Climatic barriers, such as heat and dry stresses, may limit the spread of FAW to North and South Africa. Future projections suggest that FAW invasive range will retract from both northern and southern regions towards the equator. However, a large area in eastern and central Africa is projected to have an optimal climate for FAW persistence. These areas will serve as FAW 'hotspots' from where it may migrate to the north and south during favorable seasons and then pose an economic threat. Our projections can be used to identify countries at risk for permanent and transient FAW-population establishment and inform timely integrated pest management interventions under present and future climate in Africa.
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