Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35017262›Full record

SynthesisTobacco control2023

Identifying best modelling practices for tobacco control policy simulations: a systematic review and a novel quality assessment framework.

Vincy Huang, Anna Head, Lirije Hyseni, Martin O'Flaherty, Iain Buchan, Simon Capewell, Chris Kypridemos

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Tobacco control, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  5. An analysis of spatial and temporal uncertainty propagation in agent-based models.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
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  10. Improving Prediction of Tobacco Use Over Time: Findings from Waves 1-4 of the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health Study.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Vincy HuangDepartment of Public Health, Policy and Systems, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK vincyhwj@liverpool.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-2569-0701
Anna HeadDepartment of Public Health, Policy and Systems, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Lirije HyseniDepartment of Public Health, Policy and Systems, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Martin O'FlahertyDepartment of Public Health, Policy and Systems, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Iain BuchanDepartment of Public Health, Policy and Systems, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Simon CapewellDepartment of Public Health, Policy and Systems, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Chris KypridemosDepartment of Public Health, Policy and Systems, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0746-9229

Funding

Department of Health
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPolicy simulation models (PSMs) have been used extensively to shape health policies before real-world implementation and evaluate post-implementation impact. This systematic review aimed to examine best practices, identify common pitfalls in tobacco control PSMs and propose a modelling quality assessment framework.

methodsWe searched five databases to identify eligible publications from July 2013 to August 2019. We additionally included papers from Feirman

findingsWe found 146 eligible papers and 25 distinct models. Most models used population data from public or administrative registries, and all performed sensitivity analysis. However, smoking behaviour was commonly modelled into crude categories of smoking status. Eight models only presented overall changes in mortality rather than explicitly considering smoking-related diseases. Only four models reported impacts on health inequalities, and none offered the source code. Overall, the higher scored models achieved higher citation rates.

conclusionsWhile fragments of good practices were widespread across the reviewed PSMs, only a few included a 'critical mass' of the good practices specified in our quality assessment framework. This framework might, therefore, potentially serve as a benchmark and support sharing of good modelling practices.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationHealth PolicyPolicy MakingQuality Assurance, Health CareTobacco ControlBenchmarkingHumansReproducibility of ResultsSmokingpublic policysmoking caused diseasesocioeconomic status

Identifiers

PMID35017262
PMCPMC10447402

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.