Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35016609›Full record

ArticleBMC genomics2022

A modified decision tree approach to improve the prediction and mutation discovery for drug resistance in Mycobacterium tuberculosis.

Wouter Deelder, Gary Napier, Susana Campino, Luigi Palla, Jody Phelan, Taane G Clark

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC genomics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Open-access genomic drug resistance prediction tools forJournal of clinical microbiology · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Predicting Drug Resistance inDiagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Association between mutations in aEmerging microbes & infections · 2023
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Wouter DeelderLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Gary NapierLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Susana CampinoLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Luigi PallaLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Jody Phelan *London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Taane G Clark *London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK. Taane.clark@lshtm.ac.uk.
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBUniversity of London · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/M01360X/1Medical Research Council MR/N010469/1Medical Research Council MR/R020973/1Medical Research Council MR/R025576/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDrug resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis is complicating the effective treatment and control of tuberculosis disease (TB). With the adoption of whole genome sequencing as a diagnostic tool, machine learning approaches are being employed to predict M. tuberculosis resistance and identify underlying genetic mutations. However, machine learning approaches can overfit and fail to identify causal mutations if they are applied out of the box and not adapted to the disease-specific context. We introduce a machine learning approach that is customized to the TB setting, which extracts a library of genomic variants re-occurring across individual studies to improve genotypic profiling.

resultsWe developed a customized decision tree approach, called Treesist-TB, that performs TB drug resistance prediction by extracting and evaluating genomic variants across multiple studies. The application of Treesist-TB to rifampicin (RIF), isoniazid (INH) and ethambutol (EMB) drugs, for which resistance mutations are known, demonstrated a level of predictive accuracy similar to the widely used TB-Profiler tool (Treesist-TB vs. TB-Profiler tool: RIF 97.5% vs. 97.6%; INH 96.8% vs. 96.5%; EMB 96.8% vs. 95.8%). Application of Treesist-TB to less understood second-line drugs of interest, ethionamide (ETH), cycloserine (CYS) and para-aminosalisylic acid (PAS), led to the identification of new variants (52, 6 and 11, respectively), with a high number absent from the TB-Profiler library (45, 4, and 6, respectively). Thereby, Treesist-TB had improved predictive sensitivity (Treesist-TB vs. TB-Profiler tool: PAS 64.3% vs. 38.8%; CYS 45.3% vs. 30.7%; ETH 72.1% vs. 71.1%).

conclusionOur work reinforces the utility of machine learning for drug resistance prediction, while highlighting the need to customize approaches to the disease-specific context. Through applying a modified decision learning approach (Treesist-TB) across a range of anti-TB drugs, we identified plausible resistance-encoding genomic variants with high predictive ability, whilst potentially overcoming the overfitting challenges that can affect standard machine learning applications.

Indexed as

Mycobacterium tuberculosisAntitubercular AgentsDecision TreesDrug Resistance, Multiple, BacterialHumansMicrobial Sensitivity TestsMutationTuberculosis, Multidrug-ResistantAntitubercular AgentsCycloserineDrug resistanceEthionamideMachine learningMycobacterium tuberculosisPAS

Identifiers

PMID35016609
PMCPMC8753810
OpenAlexW4205480472

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.