Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35012711›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Public health2022

The contribution of unstable housing to HIV and hepatitis C virus transmission among people who inject drugs globally, regionally, and at country level: a modelling study.

Jack Stone, Adelina Artenie, Matthew Hickman, Natasha K Martin, Louisa Degenhardt, Hannah Fraser, Peter Vickerman

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.9field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 45 citations in OpenAlex.

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  18. Health-related quality of life among people who inject drugs in Australia.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2023
    Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Jack StonePopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK. Electronic address: jack.stone@bristol.ac.uk.
Adelina ArteniePopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Matthew HickmanPopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Behavioural Science and Evaluation, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Natasha K MartinDivision of Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA.
Louisa DegenhardtNational Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Hannah FraserPopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Peter VickermanPopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Behavioural Science and Evaluation, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
University of Bristol · GBNIHR Bristol Biomedical Research Centre · GBUniversity of California, San Diego · USUNSW Sydney · AU

Funding

UC San Diego Clinical and Translational Research InstituteUL1TR001442 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI FIRESTEIN, GARY S, HOGARTH, MICHAEL · 2015 to 2024
$88.3M
VirologyP30AI036214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI David Mitchell Smith · 1994 to 2026
$78.4M
Expanding Medication Assisted Therapy in Ukraine (ExMAT)R01DA033679 · NIDA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI ALTICE, FREDERICK LEWIS · 2012 to 2021
$6.4M
Optimizing HIV prevention portfolios targeting people who inject drugs using dynamic economic modelingR01AI147490 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI MARTIN, NATASHA · 2019 to 2022
$2.3M
Modeling the impact and cost-effectiveness of opioid agonist treatments to reduce the negative consequences of incarceration on HIV and TB transmission in Eastern Europe and Central AsiaR21DA047902 · NIDA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI ALTICE, FREDERICK LEWIS · 2020 to 2021
$378k
Medical Research Council MR/N00616X/1Medical Research Council MR/S037586/1NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001442NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI036214NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI147490NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA033679NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA1104470NIDA NIH HHS R21 DA047902
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA considerable proportion of people who inject drugs are unstably housed. Although unstable housing is associated with HIV and HCV infection among people who inject drugs, its contribution to transmission is unknown. We estimated the global and national proportions of incident HIV and HCV infections among people who inject drugs attributed to housing instability from 2020 to 2029.

methodsIn this modelling study, we developed country-level models of unstable housing and HIV and HCV transmission among people who inject drugs in 58 countries globally, calibrated to country-specific data on the prevalences of HIV and HCV and unstable housing. Based on a recently published systematic review, unstably housed people who inject drugs were assumed to have a 39% (95% CI 6-84) increased risk of HIV transmission and a 64% (95% CI 43-89%) increased risk of HCV transmission. We used pooled country-level estimates from systematic reviews on HCV and HIV prevalence in people who inject drugs. Our models estimated the transmission population attributable fraction (tPAF) of unstable housing to HIV and HCV transmission among people who inject drugs, defined as the percentage of infections prevented from 2020 to 2029 if the additional risk due to unstable housing was removed.

findingsOur models were produced for 58 countries with sufficient data (accounting for >66% of the global people who inject drugs population). Globally, we project unstable housing contributes 7·9% (95% credibility interval [CrI] 2·3-15·7) of new HIV infections and 11·2% (7·7-15·5) of new HCV infections among people who inject drugs from 2020 to 2029. Country-level tPAFs were strongly associated with the prevalence of unstable housing. tPAFs were greater in high-income countries (HIV 17·2% [95% CrI 5·1-30·0]; HCV 19·4% [95% CrI 13·8-26·0]) than in low-income or middle-income countries (HIV 6·6% [95% CrI 1·8-13·1]; HCV 8·3% [95% CrI 5·5-11·7]). tPAFs for HIV and HCV were highest in Afghanistan, Czech Republic, India, USA, England, and Wales where unstable housing contributed more than 20% of new HIV and HCV infections.

interpretationUnstable housing is an important modifiable risk factor for HIV and HCV transmission among people who inject drugs in many countries. The study emphasises the importance of implementing initiatives to mitigate these risks and reduce housing instability.

fundingNational Institute for Health Research and National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and National Institute for Drug Abuse.

Indexed as

Global HealthComputer SimulationHepatitis CHIV InfectionsHousingHumansIll-Housed PersonsSubstance Abuse, IntravenousTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID35012711
PMCPMC8848679
OpenAlexW4205114016

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.