ArticleAging clinical and experimental research2022
Estimating COVID-19-induced excess mortality in Lombardy, Italy.
Article in Aging clinical and experimental research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed.
- Changes in ANA Positivity Following SARS-CoV-2 Outbreak in Lombardy Region, Italy.Journal of medical virology · 2026Article
- Variability in Post-Discharge Mortality Rates and Predictors over Time: Data from a Five-Year Ward-Wide Study.Journal of clinical medicine · 2026Article
- Burden and Outcomes of Severe Lower Respiratory Tract Infections with Unknown Etiology: A Retrospective Observational Study on Epidemiological Trends Over an 8-Year Period (2016-2024).Infectious diseases and therapy · 2025Article
- Construction and validation of a covariate-based model for district-level estimation of excess deaths due to COVID-19 in India.Journal of global health · 2024Article
- Article
- Age and sex differences in cause-specific excess mortality and years of life lost associated with COVID-19 infection in the Swedish population.European journal of public health · 2023Observational
- The Impact of Vaccination on COVID-19 Burden of Disease in the Adult and Elderly Population: A Systematic Review of Italian Evidence.Vaccines · 2023Review
- The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Overall and Cause-Specific Mortality in Pavia, Northern Italy: Updated Estimates for the Year 2021.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Assessment of Excess Mortality in Italy in 2020-2021 as a Function of Selected Macro-Factors.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Setting up and managing the largest COVID-19 mass vaccination center in Lombardy, Italy.Frontiers in public health · 2023Observational
- Bayesian profile regression to study the ecologic associations of correlated environmental exposures with excess mortality risk during the first year of the Covid-19 epidemic in lombardy, Italy.Environmental research · 2023Article
- Predisposing factors for admission to intensive care units of patients with COVID-19 infection-Results of the German nationwide inpatient sample.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Assessing COVID-19-Related Excess Mortality Using Multiple Approaches-Italy, 2020-2021.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Long-acting Injectable Antipsychotics during the COVID-19 pandemic in schizophrenia: An observational study in a real-world clinical setting.Psychiatry research · 2022Observational
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6 authors.
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Abstract
We compare the expected all-cause mortality with the observed one for different age classes during the pandemic in Lombardy, which was the epicenter of the epidemic in Italy. The first case in Italy was found in Lombardy in early 2020, and the first wave was mainly centered in Lombardy. The other three waves, in Autumn 2020, March 2021 and Summer 2021 are also characterized by a high number of cases in absolute terms. A generalized linear mixed model is introduced to model weekly mortality from 2011 to 2019, taking into account seasonal patterns and year-specific trends. Based on the 2019 year-specific conditional best linear unbiased predictions, a significant excess of mortality is estimated in 2020, leading to approximately 35000 more deaths than expected, mainly arising during the first wave. In 2021, instead, the excess mortality is not significantly different from zero, for the 85+ and 15-64 age classes, and significant reductions with respect to the 2020 estimated excess mortality are estimated for other age classes.
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