Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35006388›Full record

ArticleBulletin of mathematical biology2022

Vaccination and Quarantine Effect on COVID-19 Transmission Dynamics Incorporating Chinese-Spring-Festival Travel Rush: Modeling and Simulations.

Yukun Zou, Wei Yang, Junjie Lai, Jiawen Hou, Wei Lin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bulletin of mathematical biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Propagation thresholds in a diffusive epidemic model with latency and vaccination.Zeitschrift fuer angewandte mathematik und physik · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Analysis of a COVID-19 Epidemic Model with Seasonality.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2022
    Article
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  11. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Yukun ZouResearch Institute of Intelligent Complex Systems, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China.
Wei YangResearch Institute of Intelligent Complex Systems, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China. yangwei@fudan.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4585-9682
Junjie LaiResearch Institute of Intelligent Complex Systems, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China.
Jiawen HouResearch Institute of Intelligent Complex Systems, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China.
Wei LinResearch Institute of Intelligent Complex Systems, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 11925103National Natural Science Foundation of China 2018YFC0116600Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality 18DZ1201000Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality 18ZR1404300Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality 19511101404Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality 19511132000Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality 21511100200
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely affected the entire world. The effective implementation of vaccination strategy is critical to prevent the resurgence of the pandemic, especially during large-scale population migration. We establish a multiple patch coupled model based on the transportation network among the 31 provinces in China, under the combined strategies of vaccination and quarantine during large-scale population migration. Based on the model, we derive a critical quarantine rate to control the pandemic transmission and a vaccination rate to achieve herd immunity. Furthermore, we evaluate the influence of passenger flow on the effective reproduction number during the Chinese-Spring-Festival travel rush. Meanwhile, the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic is investigated for different control strategies, viz. global control and local control. The impact of vaccine-related parameters, such as the number, the effectiveness and the immunity period of vaccine, are explored. It is believed that the articulated models as well as the presented simulation results could be beneficial to design of feasible strategies for preventing COVID-19 transmission during the Chinese-Spring-Festival travel rush or the other future events involving large-scale population migration.

Indexed as

COVID-19QuarantineChinaHolidaysHumansMathematical ConceptsModels, BiologicalPandemicsSARS-CoV-2TravelVaccinationBasic reproduction numberLarge-scale migrationMultiple patch coupled modelTransportation networkVaccination

Identifiers

PMID35006388
PMCPMC8743760

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.