Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35005671›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2022

Impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 interventions on the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in mainland China.

Zheng Zhao, Canjun Zheng, Hongchao Qi, Yue Chen, Michael P Ward, Fengfeng Liu, Jie Hong, Qing Su, Jiaqi Huang, Xi Chen and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Zheng ZhaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Canjun ZhengDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Hongchao QiDepartment of Biostatistics, Erasmus University Medical Center, The Netherlands.
Yue ChenDepartment of Epidemiology and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, 451 Smyth Rd, Ottawa, ON, Canada.
Michael P WardSydney School of Veterinary Science, The University of Sydney, Camden NSW, Australia.
Fengfeng LiuDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Jie HongDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Qing SuDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Jiaqi HuangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Xi ChenDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Jiaxu LeDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Xiuliang LiuDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Minrui RenDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Jianbo BaNaval Medical Center of PLA, 880 Xiangyin Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai, China.
Zhijie ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Zhaorui ChangDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Zhongjie LiDivision of Infectious Disease, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn early 2020, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) were implemented in China to reduce and contain the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) transmission. These NPIs might have also reduced the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD).

methodsThe weekly numbers of HFMD cases and meteorological factors in 31 provincial capital cities and municipalities in mainland China were obtained from Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CCDC) and National Meteorological Information Center of China from 2016 to 2020. The NPI data were collected from local CDCs. The incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were calculated for the entire year of 2020, and for January-July 2020 and August-December 2020. The expected case numbers were estimated using seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average models. The relationships between kindergarten closures and incidence of HFMD were quantified using a generalized additive model. The estimated associations from all cities were pooled using a multivariate meta-regression model.

findingsStringent NPIs were widely implemented for COVID-19 control from January to July 2020, and the IRRs for HFMD were less than 1 in all 31 cities, and less than 0·1 for 23 cities. Overall, the proportion of HFMD cases reduced by 52·9% (95% CI: 49·3-55·5%) after the implementation of kindergarten closures in 2020, and this effect was generally consistent across subgroups.

interpretationThe decrease in HFMD incidence was strongly associated with the NPIs for COVID-19. HFMD epidemic peaks were either absent or delayed, and the final epidemic size was reduced. Kindergarten closure is an intervention to prevent HFMD outbreaks.

fundingThis research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81973102 & 81773487), Public Health Talents Training Program of Shanghai Municipality (GWV-10.2-XD21), the Shanghai New Three-year Action Plan for Public Health (GWV-10.1-XK16), the Major Project of Scientific and Technical Winter Olympics from National Key Research and Development Program of China (2021YFF0306000), 13th Five-Year National Science and Technology Major Project for Infectious Diseases (2018ZX10725-509) and Key projects of the PLA logistics Scientific research Program (BHJ17J013).

Indexed as

COVID-19HFMDimpactNPIsSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID35005671
PMCPMC8720138

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.