Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34999867›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2022

How advanced is the epidemiological transition in Papua New Guinea? New evidence from verbal autopsy.

John D Hart, Viola Kwa, Paison Dakulala, Paulus Ripa, Dale Frank, Victor Golpak, Timothy Adair, Deirdre Mclaughlin, Ian D Riley, Alan D Lopez

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 27% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

John D HartMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Carlton, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-9637-7974
Viola KwaMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Carlton, VIC, Australia.
Paison DakulalaNational Department of Health, Islander Drive, Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea.
Paulus RipaWestern Highlands Provincial Health Authority, Mt Hagen, Papua New Guinea.
Dale FrankMilne Bay Provincial Health Authority, Alotau, Papua New Guinea.
Victor GolpakWest New Britain Provincial Health Authority, Kimbe, Papua New Guinea.
Timothy AdairMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Carlton, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-1562-4452
Deirdre MclaughlinMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Carlton, VIC, Australia.
Ian D RileyMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Carlton, VIC, Australia.
Alan D LopezMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Carlton, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-5818-6512
The University of Melbourne · AUMahonia Na Dari – Guardian of the Sea · PGMount Hagen Provincial Hospital · PGNational Department of Health · PG

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundReliable cause of death (COD) data are not available for the majority of deaths in Papua New Guinea (PNG), despite their critical policy value. Automated verbal autopsy (VA) methods, involving an interview and automated analysis to diagnose causes of community deaths, have recently been trialled in PNG. Here, we report VA results from three sites and highlight the utility of these methods to generate information about the leading CODs in the country.

methodsVA methods were introduced in one district in each of three provinces: Alotau in Milne Bay; Tambul-Nebilyer in Western Highlands; and Talasea in West New Britain. VA interviews were conducted using the Population Health Metrics Research Consortium (PHMRC) shortened questionnaire and analysed using the SmartVA automated diagnostic algorithm.

resultsA total of 1655 VAs were collected between June 2018 and November 2019, 87.0% of which related to deaths at age 12 years and over. Our findings suggest a continuing high proportion of deaths due to infectious diseases (27.0%) and a lower proportion of deaths due to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) (50.8%) than estimated by the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2017: 16.5% infectious diseases and 70.5% NCDs. The proportion of injury deaths was also high compared with GBD: 22.5% versus 13.0%.

conclusionsHealth policy in PNG needs to address a 'triple burden' of high infectious mortality, rising NCDs and a high fraction of deaths due to injuries. This study demonstrates the potential of automated VA methods to generate timely, reliable and policy-relevant data on COD patterns in hard-to-reach populations in PNG.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseNoncommunicable DiseasesAutopsyCause of DeathChildHumansPapua New Guineacause of deathglobal burden of diseasemortality surveillancePapua New GuineaVerbal autopsy

Identifiers

PMID34999867
PMCPMC8743130
OpenAlexW3159234766

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.