Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34999428›Full record

ArticleBreast (Edinburgh, Scotland)2022

Unresected screen-detected ductal carcinoma in situ: Outcomes of 311 women in the Forget-Me-Not 2 study.

Anthony J Maxwell, Bridget Hilton, Karen Clements, David Dodwell, Joanne Dulson-Cox, Olive Kearins, Cliona Kirwan, Janet Litherland, Senthurun Mylvaganam, Elena Provenzano and 7 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Breast (Edinburgh, Scotland), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.8field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 42 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Breast Cancer Polygenic Risk Score Associated with Outcomes after In Situ Breast Disease.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Observational
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. The Microenvironment in DCIS and Its Role in Disease Progression.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2025
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Mammographic surveillance after breast cancer.The British journal of radiology · 2024
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 13 institutions in 2 countries.

Anthony J MaxwellNightingale Centre, Wythenshawe Hospital, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Southmoor Road, Manchester, M23 9LT, UK; Division of Informatics, Imaging & Data Sciences, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, M13 9PT, UK. Electronic address: anthony.maxwell@manchester.ac.uk.
Bridget HiltonPublic Health England, 5 St Philip's Place, Birmingham, B3 2PW, UK. Electronic address: bridget.hilton@phe.gov.uk.
Karen ClementsPublic Health England, 5 St Philip's Place, Birmingham, B3 2PW, UK. Electronic address: karen.clements@phe.gov.uk.
David DodwellNuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Richard Doll Building, Old Road Campus, Oxford, OX3 7LF, UK. Electronic address: david.dodwell@nhs.net.
Joanne Dulson-CoxPublic Health England, 5 St Philip's Place, Birmingham, B3 2PW, UK. Electronic address: joanne.dulson-cox@phe.gov.uk.
Olive KearinsPublic Health England, 5 St Philip's Place, Birmingham, B3 2PW, UK. Electronic address: olive.kearins@phe.gov.uk.
Cliona KirwanNightingale Centre, Wythenshawe Hospital, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Southmoor Road, Manchester, M23 9LT, UK; Division of Cancer Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, M13 9PT, UK. Electronic address: cliona.kirwan@manchester.ac.uk.
Janet LitherlandWest of Scotland Breast Screening Centre, Nelson Mandela Place, Glasgow, G2 1QY, UK. Electronic address: janet.litherland@ggc.scot.nhs.uk.
Senthurun MylvaganamNew Cross Hospital, Royal Wolverhampton NHS Trust, Wolverhampton Road, Wolverhampton, WV10 0QP, UK. Electronic address: senthurun.mylvaganam@nhs.net.
Elena ProvenzanoDepartment of Histopathology (Box 235), Addenbrookes Hospital, Hills Road, Cambridge, CB2 0QQ, UK. Electronic address: elena.provenzano@addenbrookes.nhs.uk.
Sarah E PinderDivision of Cancer Studies, King's College London, Guy's Hospital, St Thomas Street, London, SE1 9RT, UK. Electronic address: sarah.pinder@kcl.ac.uk.
Elinor SawyerSchool of Cancer & Pharmaceutical Sciences, Kings College London, Guy's Cancer Centre, Great Maze Pond, London, SE1 9RT, UK. Electronic address: elinor.sawyer@kcl.ac.uk.
Abeer M ShaabanQueen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham and University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2GW, UK. Electronic address: abeer.shaaban@uhb.nhs.uk.
Nisha SharmaLeeds Wakefield Breast Screening Service, Seacroft Hospital, York Road, Leeds, LS14 6UH, UK. Electronic address: nisha.sharma2@nhs.net.
Hilary StobartIndependent Cancer Patients' Voice, 17 Woodbridge Street, London, EC1R 0LL, UK. Electronic address: hilary.stobart@icpv.org.uk.
Matthew G WallisCambridge Breast Unit, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge & NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre, Cambridge, CB2 0QQ, UK. Electronic address: matthew.wallis1@nhs.net.
Alastair M ThompsonDan L Duncan Comprehensive Cancer Center, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, 77030, USA. Electronic address: alastair.thompson@bcm.edu.
Philips (United Kingdom) · GBManchester Academic Health Science Centre · GBAddenbrooke's Hospital · GBBaylor College of Medicine · USCambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBGuy's Hospital · GBKing's College London · GBNew Cross Hospital · GBNHS Education for Scotland · GBQueen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham · GBSeacroft Hospital · GBThe Patients Association · GBUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

Cancer Research UK 21133Medical Research Council MC_U137686858
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimThe natural history of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) is poorly understood. The aim of this cohort study was to determine the outcomes of women who had no surgery for screen-detected DCIS in the 6 months following diagnosis.

methodsEnglish breast screening databases were retrospectively searched for women diagnosed with DCIS without invasive cancer at screening and who had no record of surgery within 6 months of diagnosis. These were cross-referenced with cancer registry data. Details of the potentially eligible women were sent to the relevant breast screening units for verification and for completion of data forms detailing clinical, radiological and pathological findings, non-surgical treatment and subsequent clinical course.

resultsData for 311 eligible women (median age 62 years) were available. 60 women developed invasive cancer, 56 ipsilateral and 4 contralateral. Ipsilateral invasion risk increased approximately linearly with time for at least 10 years. The 10-year cumulative risk of ipsilateral invasion was 9% (95% CI 4-21%), 39% (24-58%) and 36% (24-50%) for low, intermediate and high grade DCIS respectively and was higher in younger women, in those with larger DCIS lesions and in those with microinvasion. Most invasive cancers that developed were grade 2 or 3.

conclusionThe findings suggest that active surveillance may be a reasonable alternative to surgery in patients with low grade DCIS but that women with intermediate or high grade disease should continue to be offered surgery. This highlights the importance of reproducible grading of DCIS to ensure patients receive appropriate treatment.

Indexed as

Breast Carcinoma In SituBreast NeoplasmsCarcinoma, Intraductal, NoninfiltratingCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesBreastBreast neoplasmsCarcinomaCohort studiesFemaleIntraductalMass screeningNoninfiltratingRegistriesRetrospective studies

Identifiers

PMID34999428
PMCPMC8753270
OpenAlexW4206538374

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.