ArticleScientific reports2022
Prediction scenarios of past, present, and future environmental suitability for the Mediterranean species Arbutus unedo L.
Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed, 35 citations in OpenAlex.
- Stage-Specific Responses to Warming in Trojan Fir Across Early Life Stages: Germination, Seedling Survival, and Seedling Growth.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Tracking submediterranean ecotone shifts under climate change scenarios using marcescent oaks as indicators.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Unveiling the Nutritional Quality of the Sicilian Strawberry Tree (Foods (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Advancements in ecological niche models for forest adaptation to climate change: a comprehensive review.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2025Review
- Megagametophyte maturation dynamics and flavonol changes duringFrontiers in plant science · 2025Article
- Article
- The past, present, and future of predator-prey interactions in a warming world: Using species distribution modeling to forecast ectotherm-endotherm niche overlap.Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- Distribution patterns ofEcology and evolution · 2023Article
- Multitemporal Land Use and Cover Analysis Coupled with Climatic Change Scenarios to Protect the Endangered TaxonPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Extensive range contraction predicted under climate warming for two endangered mountaintop frogs from the rainforests of subtropical Australia.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Response of distribution patterns of two closely related species inEcology and evolution · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Climate change is a challenge for forests in the coming decades, with a major impact on species adaptation and distribution. The Mediterranean Basin is one of the most vulnerable hotspots for biodiversity conservation under climate change in the world. This research aimed at studying a Mediterranean species well adapted to the region: the Arbutus unedo L. (strawberry tree). The MaxEnt, a presence-only species-distribution software, was used to model A. unedo's environmental suitability. The current species potential distribution was accessed based on actual occurrences and selected environmental variables and subsequently projected for the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), the Mid-Holocene (MH), and the years 2050 and 2070, considering the two Representative Concentration Pathways: RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Results from the LGM projection suggest the presence of refugia in the core of the Mediterranean Basin, in particular the Iberian Peninsula (IP). The projections for the MH indicate increasing climatic suitability for the species and an eastward expansion, relatively to LGM. The predicted future environmental changes will most likely act as a catalyst for suitable habitat loss and a range shift towards the North is likely to occur.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.