Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34995290›Full record

ArticlePloS one2022

COVID-19 outbreaks in nursing homes: A strong link with the coronavirus spread in the surrounding population, France, March to July 2020.

Muriel Rabilloud, Benjamin Riche, Jean François Etard, Mad-Hélénie Elsensohn, Nicolas Voirin, Thomas Bénet, Jean Iwaz, René Ecochard, Philippe Vanhems

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Managing the Impact of COVID-19 in Nursing Homes and Long-Term Care Facilities: An Update.Journal of the American Medical Directors Association · 2022
    Article
  8. High incidence of COVID-19 at nursing homes in Madrid, Spain, despite preventive measures.Revista espanola de quimioterapia : publicacion oficial de la Sociedad Espanola de Quimioterapia · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Muriel RabilloudÉquipe Biostatistique Santé, Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Évolutive, CNRS UMR 5558, Université Lyon 1, Université de Lyon, Villeurbanne, France.ORCID 0000-0003-1324-0356
Benjamin RicheÉquipe Biostatistique Santé, Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Évolutive, CNRS UMR 5558, Université Lyon 1, Université de Lyon, Villeurbanne, France.
Jean François EtardTransVIHMI, UMI 233 Institut pour la Recherche et le Développement, U 1175, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, Université de Montpellier, Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0002-4873-0788
Mad-Hélénie ElsensohnÉquipe Biostatistique Santé, Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Évolutive, CNRS UMR 5558, Université Lyon 1, Université de Lyon, Villeurbanne, France.
Nicolas VoirinEpidemiology and Modelling in Infectious Diseases (EPIMOD), Dompierre-sur-Veyle, France.
Thomas BénetAuvergne-Rhône-Alpes Regional Office, Santé Publique France, Lyon, France.
Jean IwazÉquipe Biostatistique Santé, Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Évolutive, CNRS UMR 5558, Université Lyon 1, Université de Lyon, Villeurbanne, France.
René EcochardÉquipe Biostatistique Santé, Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Évolutive, CNRS UMR 5558, Université Lyon 1, Université de Lyon, Villeurbanne, France.
Philippe VanhemsService d'Hygiène Hospitalière, Épidémiologie, Infectiovigilance et Prévention, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Lyon, France.
Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 · FRHospices Civils de Lyon · FRInserm · FRSanté Publique France · FR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWorldwide, COVID-19 outbreaks in nursing homes have often been sudden and massive. The study investigated the role SARS-CoV-2 virus spread in nearby population plays in introducing the disease in nursing homes. MATERIAL AND

methodsThis was carried out through modelling the occurrences of first cases in each of 943 nursing homes of Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes French Region over the first epidemic wave (March-July, 2020). The cumulative probabilities of COVID-19 outbreak in the nursing homes and those of hospitalization for the disease in the population were modelled in each of the twelve Départements of the Region over period March-July 2020. This allowed estimating the duration of the active outbreak period, the dates and heights of the peaks of outbreak probabilities in nursing homes, and the dates and heights of the peaks of hospitalization probabilities in the population. Spearman coefficient estimated the correlation between the two peak series.

resultsThe cumulative proportion of nursing homes with COVID-19 outbreaks was 52% (490/943; range: 22-70% acc. Département). The active outbreak period in the nursing homes lasted 11 to 21 days (acc. Département) and ended before lockdown end. Spearman correlation between outbreak probability peaks in nursing homes and hospitalization probability peaks in the population (surrogate of the incidence peaks) was estimated at 0.71 (95% CI: [0.66; 0.78]).

conclusionThe modelling highlighted a strong correlation between the outbreak in nursing homes and the external pressure of the disease. It indicated that avoiding disease outbreaks in nursing homes requires a tight control of virus spread in the surrounding populations.

Indexed as

Communicable Disease ControlCOVID-19Disease OutbreaksEpidemiological ModelsFranceHumansNursing HomesPandemicsSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34995290
PMCPMC8741027
OpenAlexW4205731197

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.