Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34995121›Full record

ArticleScience advances2022

Impact of close interpersonal contact on COVID-19 incidence: Evidence from 1 year of mobile device data.

Forrest W Crawford, Sydney A Jones, Matthew Cartter, Samantha G Dean, Joshua L Warren, Zehang Richard Li, Jacqueline Barbieri, Jared Campbell, Patrick Kenney, Thomas Valleau and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

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  11. Statistical inference for complete and incomplete mobility trajectories under the flight-pause model.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics · 2024
    Article
  12. Heterogeneous changes in mobility in response to the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2 outbreak in Shanghai.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Patterns of Infectious Disease Associated With Injection Drug Use in Massachusetts.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
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  18. Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Forrest W CrawfordDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0046-0547
Sydney A JonesEpidemic Intelligence Service, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Matthew CartterInfectious Diseases Section, Connecticut Department of Public Health, Hartford, CT, USA.
Samantha G DeanDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1517-3118
Joshua L WarrenDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6274-6970
Zehang Richard LiDepartment of Statistics, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9551-9638
Jacqueline BarbieriWhitespace Ltd., Alexandria, VA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6343-9825
Jared CampbellWhitespace Ltd., Alexandria, VA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3646-3325
Patrick KenneyWhitespace Ltd., Alexandria, VA, USA.
Thomas ValleauWhitespace Ltd., Alexandria, VA, USA.
Olga MorozovaProgram in Public Health and Department of Family, Population and Preventive Medicine, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7606-8413

Funding

Predicting and monitoring variations in the effects of vaccines against RSVR01AI137093 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Virginia E Pitzer, Daniel Martin Weinberger · 2018 to 2026
$3.4M
Network-based epidemiology for hidden and hard-to-reach populationsDP2HD091799 · NICHD · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI CRAWFORD, FORREST WRENN · 2016 to 2016
$2.5M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI137093NICHD NIH HHS DP2 HD091799
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Close contact between people is the primary route for transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We quantified interpersonal contact at the population level using mobile device geolocation data. We computed the frequency of contact (within 6 feet) between people in Connecticut during February 2020 to January 2021 and aggregated counts of contact events by area of residence. When incorporated into a SEIR-type model of COVID-19 transmission, the contact rate accurately predicted COVID-19 cases in Connecticut towns. Contact in Connecticut explains the initial wave of infections during March to April, the drop in cases during June to August, local outbreaks during August to September, broad statewide resurgence during September to December, and decline in January 2021. The transmission model fits COVID-19 transmission dynamics better using the contact rate than other mobility metrics. Contact rate data can help guide social distancing and testing resource allocation.

Identifiers

PMID34995121
PMCPMC8741180

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.