Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34993676›Full record

ArticleJapanese journal of ophthalmology2022

Real-world effectiveness of screening programs for age-related macular degeneration: amended Japanese specific health checkups and augmented screening programs with OCT or AI.

Hiroshi Tamura, Yoko Akune, Yoshimune Hiratsuka, Ryo Kawasaki, Ai Kido, Masahiro Miyake, Rei Goto, Masakazu Yamada

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Japanese journal of ophthalmology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Persistence of vascular empty sleeves in choroidal neovascularization after VEGF therapy in both animal models and humans.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2023
    Article
  6. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Hiroshi TamuraDepartment of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, 54 Shogoin-Kawahara-cho, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto, 606-8507, Japan. htamura@kuhp.kyoto-u.ac.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7740-2732
Yoko AkuneGraduate School of Health Management, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan.
Yoshimune HiratsukaDepartment of Ophthalmology, Juntendo University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Ryo KawasakiArtificial Intelligence Center for Medical Research and Application, Osaka University Hospital, Suita, Japan.
Ai KidoDepartment of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, 54 Shogoin-Kawahara-cho, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto, 606-8507, Japan.
Masahiro MiyakeDepartment of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, 54 Shogoin-Kawahara-cho, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto, 606-8507, Japan.
Rei GotoGraduate School of Business Administration, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan.
Masakazu YamadaDepartment of Ophthalmology, Kyorin University School of Medicine, Mitaka, Japan.
Kyoto University · JPKeio University · JPJuntendo University · JPKyorin University · JPOsaka University Hospital · JP

Funding

the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, Japan 19FA1001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo investigate the effectiveness of screening and subsequent intervention for age-related macular degeneration (AMD) in Japan. STUDY

designBest-case-scenario analysis using a Markov model.

methodsThe clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of screening for AMD were assessed by calculating the reduction proportion of blindness and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The Markov model simulation began at screening at the age of 40 years and ended at screening at the age of 90 years. The first-eye and second-eye combined model assumed annual state-transition probabilities in the development and treatment of AMD. Data on prevalence, morbidity, transition probability, utility value, and treatment costs were obtained from previously published reports. Sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the influence of the parameters.

resultsIn the base-case analysis, screening for AMD every 5 years, beginning at age 40 years and ending at age 74 years (reflecting the screening ages of the current Japanese legal "Specific Health Checkups") showed a decrease of 40.7% in the total number of blind patients. The screening program reduced the number of blind people more than did the additional AREDS/AREDS2 formula supplement intake. However, the ICER of screening versus no screening was ¥9,846,411/QALY, which was beyond what people were willing to pay (WTP) in Japan. Sensitivity analysis revealed that neither OCT nor AI improved the ICER, but the scenario in which the prevalence of smoking decreased by 30% improved the ICER (¥4,655,601/QALY) to the level under the WTP.

conclusionsOphthalmologic screening for AMD is highly effective in reducing blindness but is not cost-effective, as demonstrated by a Markov model based on real-world evidence from Japan.

Indexed as

Macular DegenerationTomography, Optical CoherenceAdultAgedAged, 80 and overArtificial IntelligenceCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansJapanMarkov ChainsAge-related macular degenerationClinical effectivenessCost-effectiveness analysisMarkov modelScreening

Identifiers

PMID34993676
OpenAlexW4206164438

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.