Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34990828›Full record

ArticleAnnals of epidemiology2022

Estimating sibling spillover effects with unobserved confounding using gain-scores.

David C Mallinson, Felix Elwert

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of epidemiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Indirect genetic effects of siblings.Journal of child psychology and psychiatry, and allied disciplines · 2026
    Article
  2. On spillovers in economic evaluations: definition, mapping review and research agenda.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2024
    Review
  3. Spillover effects of gestational age on sibling's literacy.Early child development and care · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

David C MallinsonPopulation Research Center, University of Texas, Austin, TX. Electronic address: david.mallinson@austin.utexas.edu.
Felix ElwertDepartment of Sociology, College of Letters and Sciences, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, School of Medicine and Public Health, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; Center for Demography and Ecology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI.

Funding

University of Wisconsin Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR002373 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI ELIZABETH S BURNSIDE, Allan R. Brasier · 2017 to 2026
$75.9M
Institutional Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000427 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI DREZNER, MARC KENNETH · 2012 to 2016
$32.2M
Statistical Data Enclave CoreP30AG017266 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI Michal Engelman · 1999 to 2026
$17.0M
Population Research CenterR24HD042849 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AUSTIN · PI UMBERSON, DEBRA J. · 2002 to 2016
$8.4M
Center for Demography and EcologyR24HD047873 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI RAYMO, JAMES M · 2004 to 2013
$7.2M
Diversity supplementT32HD007014 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI Katherine J. Curtis · 1985 to 2026
$6.8M
Scientific & Technical CoreP2CHD042849 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN · PI MARK D. HAYWARD · 2017 to 2026
$5.2M
Scientific and Technical CoreP2CHD047873 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI Katherine J. Curtis · 2014 to 2026
$5.1M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000427NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002373NIA NIH HHS P30 AG017266NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD042849NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD047873NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD042849NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD047873NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007014
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeA growing area of research in epidemiology is the identification of health-related sibling spillover effects, or the effect of one individual's exposure on their sibling's outcome. The health within families may be confounded by unobserved factors, rendering identification of sibling spillovers challenging.

methodsWe demonstrate a gain-score (fixed effects) regression method for identifying exposure-to-outcome spillover effects within sibling pairs in linear models. The method identifies the exposure-to-outcome spillover effect if only one sibling's exposure affects the other's outcome, and it identifies the difference between the spillover effects if both siblings' exposures affect the others' outcomes. The method fails with outcome-to-exposure spillover or with outcome-to-outcome spillover. Analytic results, Monte Carlo simulations, and a brief application demonstrate the method and its limitations.

resultsWe estimate the spillover effect of a child's preterm birth on an older sibling's literacy skills, measured by the Phonological Awareness Literacy Screening-Kindergarten test. We analyze 20,010 sibling pairs from a population-wide, Wisconsin-based (United States) birth cohort. Without covariate adjustment, we estimate that preterm birth modestly decreases an older sibling's test score.

conclusionsGain-scores are a promising strategy for identifying exposure-to-outcome spillover effects in sibling pairs while controlling for sibling-invariant unobserved confounding.

Indexed as

Premature BirthSiblingsChildHumansInfant, NewbornRegression AnalysisResearch DesignUnited StatesWisconsinCausalityEpidemiologic methodsFamilySiblings

Identifiers

PMID34990828
PMCPMC8960330

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.