Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34988543›Full record

ArticleArtificial intelligence in the life sciences2021

Machine Learning Based Prediction of COVID-19 Mortality Suggests Repositioning of Anticancer Drug for Treating Severe Cases.

Thomas Linden, Frank Hanses, Daniel Domingo-Fernández, Lauren Nicole DeLong, Alpha Tom Kodamullil, Jochen Schneider, Maria J G T Vehreschild, Julia Lanznaster, Maria Madeleine Ruethrich, Stefan Borgmann and 14 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Artificial intelligence in the life sciences, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 35% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
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  4. Article
  5. General Severity of Illness Scoring Systems and COVID-19 Mortality Predictions: Is "Old Still Gold?"Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors at 16 institutions in 1 country.

Thomas LindenFraunhofer Institute for Algorithms and Scientific Computing (SCAI), Schloss Birlinghoven, 53757 Sankt Augustin, Germany.
Frank HansesEmergency Department, University Hospital Regensburg, 93053 Regensburg, Germany.
Daniel Domingo-FernándezFraunhofer Institute for Algorithms and Scientific Computing (SCAI), Schloss Birlinghoven, 53757 Sankt Augustin, Germany.
Lauren Nicole DeLongFraunhofer Institute for Algorithms and Scientific Computing (SCAI), Schloss Birlinghoven, 53757 Sankt Augustin, Germany.
Alpha Tom KodamullilFraunhofer Institute for Algorithms and Scientific Computing (SCAI), Schloss Birlinghoven, 53757 Sankt Augustin, Germany.
Jochen SchneiderTechnical University of Munich, School of Medicine, University Hospital rechts der Isar, Department of Internal Medicine II, 81675 Munich, Germany.
Maria J G T VehreschildDepartment II of Internal Medicine, Infectious Diseases, University Hospital Frankfurt, Goethe University, 60590 Frankfurt, Germany.
Julia LanznasterDepartment of Internal Medicine II, Hospital Passau, Innstraße 76, 94032 Passau, Germany.
Maria Madeleine RuethrichInstitute for Infection Medicine and Hospital Hygiene, University Hospital Jena, 07743 Jena, Germany.
Stefan BorgmannDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Infection Control, Hospital Ingolstadt, 85049 Ingolstadt, Germany.
Martin HowerDepartment of Pneumology, Infectious Diseases and Intensive Care, Klinikum Dortmund gGmbH, Hospital of University Witten / Herdecke, 44137 Dortmund, Germany.
Kai WilleUniversity Clinic for Haematology, Oncology, Haemostaseology and Palliative Care, Johannes Wesling Medical Centre Minden, 32429 Minden, Germany.
Torsten FeldtDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Infectious Diseases, University Hospital Düsseldorf, Medical Faculty of Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Moorenstrasse 5, 40225 Düsseldorf, Germany.
Siegbert RiegDepartment of Medicine II, University Hospital Freiburg, 79110 Freiburg, Germany.
Bernd HertensteinDepartment of Medicine II, University Hospital Freiburg, 79110 Freiburg, Germany.
Christoph WyenChristoph Wyen, Praxis am Ebertplatz Cologne, 50668 Cologne, Germany.
Christoph RoemmeleInternal Medicine III - Gastroenterology and Infectious Diseases, University Hospital Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.
Jörg Janne VehreschildDepartment II of Internal Medicine, Infectious Diseases, University Hospital Frankfurt, Goethe University, 60590 Frankfurt, Germany.
Carolin E M JakobDepartment I for Internal Medicine, University Hospital of Cologne, University of Cologne, 50931 Cologne, Germany.
Melanie StecherFraunhofer Institute for Translational Medicine and Pharmacologie (ITMP), VolksparkLabs, Schnackenburgallee 114, 22535 Hamburg, Germany.
Maria KuzikovDepartment for Infectious Diseases and Infection Control, University Hospital Regensburg, Germany.
Andrea ZalianiDepartment for Infectious Diseases and Infection Control, University Hospital Regensburg, Germany.
Holger FröhlichFraunhofer Institute for Algorithms and Scientific Computing (SCAI), Schloss Birlinghoven, 53757 Sankt Augustin, Germany.
LEOSS study group
Fraunhofer Institute for Algorithms and Scientific Computing · DEBonn Aachen International Center for Information Technology · DEJena University Hospital · DEUniversity Hospital Regensburg · DEUniversity Medical Center Freiburg · DEDüsseldorf University Hospital · DEFraunhofer Institute for Translational Medicine and Pharmacology · DEGoethe University Frankfurt · DEJohannes Wesling Klinikum Minden · DEKlinikum Dortmund · DEKlinikum Ingolstadt · DEKlinikum Passau · DETechnical University of Munich · DEUniversity Hospital Augsburg · DEUniversity Hospital Cologne · DEUniversity Hospital Frankfurt · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite available vaccinations COVID-19 case numbers around the world are still growing, and effective medications against severe cases are lacking. In this work, we developed a machine learning model which predicts mortality for COVID-19 patients using data from the multi-center 'Lean European Open Survey on SARS-CoV-2-infected patients' (LEOSS) observational study (>100 active sites in Europe, primarily in Germany), resulting into an AUC of almost 80%. We showed that molecular mechanisms related to dementia, one of the relevant predictors in our model, intersect with those associated to COVID-19. Most notably, among these molecules was tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2), a protein that has been patented as drug target in Alzheimer's Disease but also genetically associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes. We experimentally verified that anti-cancer drugs Sorafenib and Regorafenib showed a clear anti-cytopathic effect in Caco2 and VERO-E6 cells and can thus be regarded as potential treatments against COVID-19. Altogether, our work demonstrates that interpretation of machine learning based risk models can point towards drug targets and new treatment options, which are strongly needed for COVID-19.

Indexed as

Covid19Drug repositioningExplainable aiMachine learningPrecision medicine

Identifiers

PMID34988543
PMCPMC8677630
OpenAlexW4225878225

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.