Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34986199›Full record

ArticlePloS one

Development of the simulation-based German albuminuria screening model (S-GASM) for estimating the cost-effectiveness of albuminuria screening in Germany.

Paul Kairys, Thomas Frese, Paul Voigt, Johannes Horn, Matthias Girndt, Rafael Mikolajczyk

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Paul KairysInstitute of General Practice and Family Medicine, Medical Faculty, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle/Saale, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6111-1885
Thomas FreseInstitute of General Practice and Family Medicine, Medical Faculty, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle/Saale, Germany.
Paul VoigtInstitute of General Practice and Family Medicine, Medical Faculty, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle/Saale, Germany.
Johannes HornInstitute for Medical Epidemiology, Biometry, and Informatics (IMEBI), Medical Faculty, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle/Saale, Germany.
Matthias GirndtDepartment of Internal Medicine II, Medical Faculty, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle/Saale, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2823-0847
Rafael MikolajczykInstitute for Medical Epidemiology, Biometry, and Informatics (IMEBI), Medical Faculty, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle/Saale, Germany.
Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChronic kidney disease is often asymptomatic in its early stages but constitutes a severe burden for patients and causes major healthcare systems costs worldwide. While models for assessing the cost-effectiveness of screening were proposed in the past, they often presented only a limited view. This study aimed to develop a simulation-based German Albuminuria Screening Model (S-GASM) and present some initial applications.

methodsThe model consists of an individual-based simulation of disease progression, considering age, gender, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, albuminuria, glomerular filtration rate, and quality of life, furthermore, costs of testing, therapy, and renal replacement therapy with parameters based on published evidence. Selected screening scenarios were compared in a cost-effectiveness analysis.

resultsCompared to no testing, a simulation of 10 million individuals with a current age distribution of the adult German population and a follow-up until death or the age of 90 shows that a testing of all individuals with diabetes every two years leads to a reduction of the lifetime prevalence of renal replacement therapy from 2.5% to 2.3%. The undiscounted costs of this intervention would be 1164.10 € / QALY (quality-adjusted life year). Considering saved costs for renal replacement therapy, the overall undiscounted costs would be-12581.95 € / QALY. Testing all individuals with diabetes or hypertension and screening the general population reduced the lifetime prevalence even further (to 2.2% and 1.8%, respectively). Both scenarios were cost-saving (undiscounted, - 7127.10 €/QALY and-5439.23 €/QALY).

conclusionsThe S-GASM can be used for the comparison of various albuminuria testing strategies. The exemplary analysis demonstrates cost savings through albuminuria testing for individuals with diabetes, diabetes or hypertension, and for population-wide screening.

Indexed as

AdultAlbuminuriaBlood PressureBody Mass IndexCase-Control StudiesComputer SimulationCost-Benefit AnalysisDiabetes ComplicationsDisease ProgressionEarly DiagnosisFemaleGermanyGlomerular Filtration RateHumansMaleModels, Economic

Identifiers

PMID34986199
PMCPMC8730388
OpenAlexW4205190684

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.