ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2022
North American tree migration paced by climate in the West, lagging in the East.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Global patterns in the predator satiation effect of masting: A meta-analysis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022Pooled it
- Forest Densification and Pollution Rival Climate in Driving US Tree Demographic Change.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Understanding Beech Predominance Through Sapling and Adult Demography Along Environmental Gradients.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Tree regeneration trends in forests of the northeastern USA and their implications for resilience and restoration.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026Article
- Variation in responses to temperature in admixed Populus genotypes predicts geographic shifts in regions where hybrids are favored.The New phytologist · 2026Article
- Climate change reshapes the global distribution of wild barley relatives: integrating life-history traits and ecological niche modeling.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Geographic redistributions are insufficient to mitigate exposure to climate change in North American birds.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
- The use of fire to preserve biodiversity under novel fire regimes.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025Article
- Intraspecific variation in masting across climate gradients is inconsistent with the environmental stress hypothesis.Ecology · 2025Article
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- Article
- Accelerated succession in Himalayan alpine treelines under climatic warming.Nature plants · 2024Article
- Relative decline in density of Northern Hemisphere tree species in warm and arid regions of their climate niches.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Climate mismatches with ectomycorrhizal fungi contribute to migration lag in North American tree range shifts.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Topography-driven microclimate gradients shape forest structure, diversity, and composition in a temperate refugial forest.Plant-environment interactions (Hoboken, N.J.) · 2024Article
- Climate change, tree demography, and thermophilization in western US forests.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Plant Species' Capacity for Range Shifts at the Habitat and Geographic Scales: A Trade-Off-Based Framework.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Review
- The evolution, complexity and diversity of models of long-term forest dynamics.The Journal of ecology · 2022Article
- Dynamic Energy Budget models: fertile ground for understanding resource allocation in plants in a changing world.Conservation physiology · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
45 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Tree fecundity and recruitment have not yet been quantified at scales needed to anticipate biogeographic shifts in response to climate change. By separating their responses, this study shows coherence across species and communities, offering the strongest support to date that migration is in progress with regional limitations on rates. The southeastern continent emerges as a fecundity hotspot, but it is situated south of population centers where high seed production could contribute to poleward population spread. By contrast, seedling success is highest in the West and North, serving to partially offset limited seed production near poleward frontiers. The evidence of fecundity and recruitment control on tree migration can inform conservation planning for the expected long-term disequilibrium between climate and forest distribution.
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