ArticleBulletin of mathematical biology2022
Modeling and Evaluation of the Joint Prevention and Control Mechanism for Curbing COVID-19 in Wuhan.
Article in Bulletin of mathematical biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- The Effect of Fangcang Shelter Hospitals under Resource Constraints on the Spread of Epidemics.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Recursive Zero-COVID model and quantitation of control efforts of the Omicron epidemic in Jilin province.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- Clinical Practice and Effectiveness Analysis of the Management of Corona Virus Disease 2019 Infected at Shanghai Fangcang Shelter Hospital: A Descriptive Study.Risk management and healthcare policy · 2023Article
- Analysis of a COVID-19 Epidemic Model with Seasonality.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2022Article
- A data-driven hybrid ensemble AI model for COVID-19 infection forecast using multiple neural networks and reinforced learning.Computers in biology and medicine · 2022Article
- Listening to bluetooth beacons for epidemic risk mitigation.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Analysis of the Protective Effect of Infection Controllers Supervising Third-Party Personnel Entering and Leaving Shanghai Fangcang Shelter Hospital.Infection and drug resistance · 2022Article
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Authors and funding
15 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan was successfully curbed under the strategy of "Joint Prevention and Control Mechanism." To understand how this measure stopped the epidemics in Wuhan, we establish a compartmental model with time-varying parameters over different stages. In the early stage of the epidemic, due to resource limitations, the number of daily reported cases may lower than the actual number. We employ a dynamic-based approach to calibrate the accumulated clinically diagnosed data with a sudden jump on February 12 and 13. The model simulation shows reasonably good match with the adjusted data which allows the prediction of the cumulative confirmed cases. Numerical results reveal that the "Joint Prevention and Control Mechanism" played a significant role on the containment of COVID-19. The spread of COVID-19 cannot be inhibited if any of the measures was not effectively implemented. Our analysis also illustrates that the Fangcang Shelter Hospitals are very helpful when the beds in the designated hospitals are insufficient. Comprised with Fangcang Shelter Hospitals, the designated hospitals can contain the transmission of COVID-19 more effectively. Our findings suggest that the combined multiple measures are essential to curb an ongoing epidemic if the prevention and control measures can be fully implemented.
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