Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34980465›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of surgery2022

Measuring the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on solid organ transplantation.

Alejandro Suarez-Pierre, Rashikh Choudhury, Adam M Carroll, Robert W King, John Iguidbashian, Jake Cotton, Kathryn L Colborn, Peter T Kennealey, Joseph C Cleveland, Elizabeth Pomfret and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of surgery, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Alejandro Suarez-PierreDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA. Electronic address: alejandro.suarezpierre@cuanschutz.edu.
Rashikh ChoudhuryDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Adam M CarrollDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Robert W KingDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
John IguidbashianDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Jake CottonDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Kathryn L ColbornDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Peter T KennealeyDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Joseph C ClevelandDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Elizabeth PomfretDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
David A FullertonDepartment of Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has uniquely affected the United States. We hypothesize that transplantation would be uniquely affected.

methodsIn this population-based cohort study, adult transplantation data were examined as time series data. Autoregressive-integrated-moving-average models of transplantation rates were developed using data from 1990 to 2019 to forecast the 2020 expected rates in a theoretical scenario if the pandemic did not occur to generate observed-to-expected (O/E) ratios.

results32,594 transplants were expected in 2020, and only 30,566 occurred (O/E 0.94, CI 0.88-0.99). 58,152 waitlist registrations were expected and 50,241 occurred (O/E 0.86, CI 0.80-0.94). O/E ratios of transplants were kidney 0.92 (0.86-0.98), liver 0.96 (0.89-1.04), heart 1.05 (0.91-1.23), and lung 0.92 (0.82-1.04). O/E ratios of registrations were kidney 0.84 (0.77-0.93), liver 0.95 (0.86-1.06), heart 0.99 (0.85-1.18), and lung 0.80 (0.70-0.94).

conclusionsThe COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a significant deficit in transplantation. The impact was strongest in kidney transplantation and waitlist registration.

Indexed as

COVID-19Organ TransplantationAdultCohort StudiesHumansPandemicsUnited StatesWaiting ListsARIMACOVID-19ForecastingTransplantation

Identifiers

PMID34980465
PMCPMC8717917

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.