Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34980250›Full record

ArticleClinical epigenetics2022

Epigenetic biomarkers of ageing are predictive of mortality risk in a longitudinal clinical cohort of individuals diagnosed with oropharyngeal cancer.

Rhona A Beynon, Suzanne M Ingle, Ryan Langdon, Margaret May, Andy Ness, Richard M Martin, Matthew Suderman, Kate Ingarfield, Riccardo E Marioni, Daniel L McCartney and 5 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical epigenetics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. A Sex-Specific Minimal CpG-Based Model for Biological Aging UsingInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Article
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  14. Subjective Overview of Accelerated Aging in Schizophrenia.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Review
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Rhona A BeynonMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Oakfield House, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK. rhona.beynon@bristol.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-5494-9519
Suzanne M InglePopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Ryan LangdonMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Oakfield House, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK.
Margaret MayPopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Andy NessNIHR Bristol Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Bristol and University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Richard M MartinMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Oakfield House, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK.
Matthew SudermanMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Oakfield House, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK.
Kate IngarfieldNIHR Bristol Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Bristol and University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Riccardo E MarioniCentre for Genomic and Experimental Medicine, Institute of Genetics and Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Daniel L McCartneyCentre for Genomic and Experimental Medicine, Institute of Genetics and Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU, UK.
Tim WaterboerInfections and Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Michael PawlitaInfections and Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Caroline ReltonMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Oakfield House, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK.
George Davey SmithMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Oakfield House, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK.
Rebecca C RichmondMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Oakfield House, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK.
University of Bristol · GBGerman Cancer Research Center · DEUniversity of Edinburgh · GBAt Bristol · GB

Funding

Cancer Research UK 19169Cancer Research UK 29019Cancer Research UK C18281/A19169Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/2Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/3MRF MC_UU_12013/1MRF MC_UU_12013/2MRF MC_UU_12013/3Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 110021/Z/15/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEpigenetic clocks are biomarkers of ageing derived from DNA methylation levels at a subset of CpG sites. The difference between age predicted by these clocks and chronological age, termed "epigenetic age acceleration", has been shown to predict age-related disease and mortality. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of epigenetic age acceleration and a DNA methylation-based mortality risk score with all-cause mortality in a prospective clinical cohort of individuals with head and neck cancer: Head and Neck 5000. We investigated two markers of intrinsic epigenetic age acceleration (IEAAHorvath and IEAAHannum), one marker of extrinsic epigenetic age acceleration (EEAA), one optimised to predict physiological dysregulation (AgeAccelPheno), one optimised to predict lifespan (AgeAccelGrim) and a DNA methylation-based predictor of mortality (ZhangScore). Cox regression models were first used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for associations of epigenetic age acceleration with all-cause mortality in people with oropharyngeal cancer (n = 408; 105 deaths). The added prognostic value of epigenetic markers compared to a clinical model including age, sex, TNM stage and HPV status was then evaluated.

resultsIEAAHannum and AgeAccelGrim were associated with mortality risk after adjustment for clinical and lifestyle factors (HRs per standard deviation [SD] increase in age acceleration = 1.30 [95% CI 1.07, 1.57; p = 0.007] and 1.40 [95% CI 1.06, 1.83; p = 0.016], respectively). There was weak evidence that the addition of AgeAccelGrim to the clinical model improved 3-year mortality prediction (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.80 vs. 0.77; p value for difference = 0.069).

conclusionIn the setting of a large, clinical cohort of individuals with head and neck cancer, our study demonstrates the potential of epigenetic markers of ageing to enhance survival prediction in people with oropharyngeal cancer, beyond established prognostic factors. Our findings have potential uses in both clinical and non-clinical contexts: to aid treatment planning and improve patient stratification.

Indexed as

BiomarkersEpigenomicsSurvival RateAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAgingCohort StudiesDNA MethylationFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedOropharyngeal NeoplasmsPrognosisBiomarkersDNA methylationEpigenetic ageingEpigenetic clockMortalityOropharyngeal cancerPrediction

Identifiers

PMID34980250
PMCPMC8725548
OpenAlexW4220806661

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.