Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34980029›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2022

Prognostic nomogram for patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer treated with gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel or FOLFIRINOX: A post-hoc analysis of a multicenter retrospective study in Japan (NAPOLEON study).

Taro Shibuki, Toshihiko Mizuta, Mototsugu Shimokawa, Futa Koga, Yujiro Ueda, Junichi Nakazawa, Azusa Komori, Satoshi Otsu, Shiho Arima, Masaru Fukahori and 9 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors at 15 institutions in 1 country.

Taro ShibukiDepartment of Internal Medicine, Imari Arita Kyoritsu Hospital, 860 Ninose-ko, Arita-cho, Nishi-matsuura-gun, Saga, 849-4193, Japan.
Toshihiko MizutaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Imari Arita Kyoritsu Hospital, 860 Ninose-ko, Arita-cho, Nishi-matsuura-gun, Saga, 849-4193, Japan.
Mototsugu ShimokawaClinical Research Institute, National Hospital Organization Kyushu Cancer Center, 3-1-1 Notame, Minami-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, 811-1395, Japan.
Futa KogaDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatology, Saga Medical Center Koseikan, 400 Kase-machi, Saga-shi, Saga, 840-8571, Japan.
Yujiro UedaDepartment of Hematology and Oncology, Japanese Red Cross Kumamoto Hospital, 2-1-1 Nagamine-minami, Higashi-ku, Kumamoto-shi, Kumamoto, 861-8520, Japan.
Junichi NakazawaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Kagoshima City Hospital, 37-1 Uearata-cho, Kagoshima-shi, Kagoshima, 890-8760, Japan.
Azusa KomoriDepartment of Medical Oncology and Hematology, Oita University Faculty of Medicine, 1-1 Idaigaoka, Hasama-machi, Yufu-shi, Oita, 879-5593, Japan.
Satoshi OtsuDepartment of Medical Oncology and Hematology, Oita University Faculty of Medicine, 1-1 Idaigaoka, Hasama-machi, Yufu-shi, Oita, 879-5593, Japan.
Shiho ArimaDigestive and Lifestyle Diseases, Kagoshima University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, 8-35-1 Sakuragaoka, Kagoshima-shi, Kagoshima, 890-8520, Japan.
Masaru FukahoriDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Kurume University School of Medicine, 67 Asahi-machi, Kurume-shi, Fukuoka, 830-0011, Japan.
Akitaka MakiyamaDepartment of Hematology/Oncology, Japan Community Healthcare Organization Kyushu Hospital, 1-8-1 Kishinoura, Yahatanishi-ku, Kitakyushu-shi, Fukuoka, 806-8501, Japan.
Hiroki TaguchiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Saiseikai Sendai Hospital, 2-46 Harada-machi, Satsumasendai-shi, Kagoshima, 895-0074, Japan.
Takuya HondaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, 1-7-1 Sakamoto, Nagasaki-shi, Nagasaki, 852-8501, Japan.
Kenji MitsugiDepartment of Medical Oncology, Hamanomachi Hospital, 3-3-1 Nagahama, Chuo-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, 810-8539, Japan.
Kenta NioDepartment of Medical Oncology, Hamanomachi Hospital, 3-3-1 Nagahama, Chuo-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, 810-8539, Japan.
Yasushi IdeDepartment of Internal Medicine, Karatsu Red Cross Hospital, 2430 Watada, Karatsu-shi, Saga, 847-8588, Japan.
Norio UreshinoDepartment of Medical Oncology, Saga Medical Center Koseikan, 400 Kase-machi, Saga-shi, Saga, 840-8571, Japan.
Tsuyoshi ShirakawaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Fukuoka Wajiro Hospital, 2-2-75 Wajirogaoka, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka, 811-0213, Japan. twriver1979@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9317-8216
Taiga OtsukaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Saga Medical Center Koseikan, 400 Kase-machi, Saga-shi, Saga, 840-8571, Japan.
Imari Arita Kyoritsu Hospital · JPOita University · JPSaga-Ken Medical Centre Koseikan · JPSasebo City General Hospital · JPFukuoka Institute of Technology · JPGifu University Hospital · JPIzumi City General Hospital · JPJapanese Red Cross Kumamoto Hospital · JPKagoshima City Hospital · JPKagoshima University · JPKin-ikyo Chuo Hospital · JPKurume University · JPNagasaki University · JPTakamatsu Red Cross Hospital · JPYamaguchi University · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNo reliable nomogram has been developed until date for predicting the survival in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing treatment with gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (GnP) or FOLFIRINOX.

methodsThis analysis was conducted using clinical data of Japanese patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing GnP or FOLFIRINOX treatment obtained from a multicenter study (NAPOLEON study). A Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify the independent prognostic factors. A nomogram to predict 6-, 12-, and 18-month survival probabilities was generated, validated by using the concordance index (C-index), and calibrated by the bootstrapping method. And then, we attempted risk stratification for survival by classifying the patients according to the sum of the scores on the nomogram (total nomogram points).

resultsA total of 318 patients were enrolled. A prognostic nomogram was generated using data on the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, liver metastasis, serum LDH, serum CRP, and serum CA19-9. The C-indexes of the nomogram were 0.77, 0.72 and 0.70 for 6-, 12-, and 18-month survival, respectively. The calibration plot showed optimal agreement at all points. Risk stratification based on tertiles of the total nomogram points yielded clear separations of the survival curves. The median survival times in the low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups were 15.8, 12.8 and 7.8 months (P<0.05), respectively.

conclusionsOur nomogram might be a convenient and inexpensive tool to accurately predict survival in Japanese patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing treatment with GnP or FOLFIRINOX, and will help clinicians in selecting appropriate therapeutic strategies for individualized management.

Indexed as

NomogramsAgedAlbuminsAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsBiomarkers, TumorDeoxycytidineFemaleFluorouracilGemcitabineHumansIrinotecanJapanLeucovorinMaleMiddle AgedOxaliplatin130-nm albumin-bound paclitaxelAlbuminsBiomarkers, TumorDeoxycytidineFluorouracilfolfirinoxGemcitabineIrinotecanLeucovorinOxaliplatinPaclitaxelchemotherapynomogramoverall survivalprognosisunresectable pancreatic cancer

Identifiers

PMID34980029
PMCPMC8722136
OpenAlexW4205466137

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.