Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34965253›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2021

Modeling CRISPR gene drives for suppression of invasive rodents using a supervised machine learning framework.

Samuel E Champer, Nathan Oakes, Ronin Sharma, Pablo García-Díaz, Jackson Champer, Philipp W Messer

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Mapping Gene Drive Dynamics onto Mendelian Models.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Gaussian Process Emulation for Exploring Complex Infectious Disease Models.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Resource-explicit interactions in spatial population models.Methods in ecology and evolution · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Modelling Emergence ofbioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2023
    Article
  14. Modeling emergence ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2023
    Article
  15. Leveraging a natural murine meiotic drive to suppress invasive populations.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  16. eLife · 2022
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Samuel E ChamperDepartment of Computational Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-4559-7627
Nathan OakesDepartment of Computational Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-5571-6036
Ronin SharmaDepartment of Computational Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-8384-0325
Pablo García-DíazManaaki Whenua-Landcare Research, Lincoln, New Zealand and School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-5402-0611
Jackson ChamperDepartment of Computational Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-3814-3774
Philipp W MesserDepartment of Computational Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, United States of America.
Cornell University · USUniversity of Aberdeen · GB

Funding

Evolutionary dynamics of CRISPR gene drives in natural populationsR01GM127418 · NIGMS · CORNELL UNIVERSITY · PI MESSER, PHILIPP W · 2018 to 2022
$1.6M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM127418
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Invasive rodent populations pose a threat to biodiversity across the globe. When confronted with these invaders, native species that evolved independently are often defenseless. CRISPR gene drive systems could provide a solution to this problem by spreading transgenes among invaders that induce population collapse, and could be deployed even where traditional control methods are impractical or prohibitively expensive. Here, we develop a high-fidelity model of an island population of invasive rodents that includes three types of suppression gene drive systems. The individual-based model is spatially explicit, allows for overlapping generations and a fluctuating population size, and includes variables for drive fitness, efficiency, resistance allele formation rate, as well as a variety of ecological parameters. The computational burden of evaluating a model with such a high number of parameters presents a substantial barrier to a comprehensive understanding of its outcome space. We therefore accompany our population model with a meta-model that utilizes supervised machine learning to approximate the outcome space of the underlying model with a high degree of accuracy. This enables us to conduct an exhaustive inquiry of the population model, including variance-based sensitivity analyses using tens of millions of evaluations. Our results suggest that sufficiently capable gene drive systems have the potential to eliminate island populations of rodents under a wide range of demographic assumptions, though only if resistance can be kept to a minimal level. This study highlights the power of supervised machine learning to identify the key parameters and processes that determine the population dynamics of a complex evolutionary system.

Indexed as

Models, GeneticSupervised Machine LearningAnimalsBiodiversityClustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic RepeatsFemaleGene Drive TechnologyIntroduced SpeciesMalePest Control, BiologicalPopulation ControlPopulation DynamicsRats

Identifiers

PMID34965253
PMCPMC8716047
OpenAlexW4200147119

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.