ArticleInfectious diseases of poverty2021
The optimal vaccination strategy to control COVID-19: a modeling study in Wuhan City, China.
Article in Infectious diseases of poverty, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Predictive models for health outcomes due to SARS-CoV-2, including the effect of vaccination: a systematic review.Systematic reviews · 2024Pooled it
- Role-specific household contact patterns in urban and rural China: Implications for influenza household transmission.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2027Article
- Learning from the COVID-19 pandemic: A systematic review of mathematical vaccine prioritization models.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024Review
- Optimal COVID-19 vaccine prioritization by age depends critically on inter-group contacts and vaccination rates.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- Deep learning for discriminating non-trivial conformational changes in molecular dynamics simulations of SARS-CoV-2 spike-ACE2.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Theoretical Epidemiology Needs Urgent Attention in China.China CDC weekly · 2024Article
- Learning from the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review of mathematical vaccine prioritization models.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024Article
- Analysis of Factors Influencing the Clinical Severity of Omicron and Delta Variants.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2023Article
- Contact pattern, current immune barrier, and pathogen virulence determines the optimal strategy of further vaccination.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- Impact of vaccination and non-pharmacological interventions on COVID-19: a review of simulation modeling studies in Asia.Frontiers in public health · 2023Review
- Forecasting the effects of vaccination on the COVID-19 pandemic in Malaysia using SEIRV compartmental models.Epidemiology and health · 2023Article
- Mathematical Models Supporting Control of COVID-19.China CDC weekly · 2022Article
- Modeling Cross-Regional Transmission and Assessing the Effectiveness of Restricting Inter-Regional Population Movements in Controlling COVID-19 - Xi'an City, Shaanxi Province, China, 2021.China CDC weekly · 2022Article
- Article
- Model-Based Evaluation of Transmissibility and Intervention Measures for a COVID-19 Outbreak in Xiamen City, China.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Effectiveness of potential antiviral treatments in COVID-19 transmission control: a modelling study.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2021Article
- Multi-generational SIR modeling: Determination of parameters, epidemiological forecasting and age-dependent vaccination policies.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
27 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundReaching optimal vaccination rates is an essential public health strategy to control the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. This study aimed to simulate the optimal vaccination strategy to control the disease by developing an age-specific model based on the current transmission patterns of COVID-19 in Wuhan City, China.
methodsWe collected two indicators of COVID-19, including illness onset data and age of confirmed case in Wuhan City, from December 2, 2019, to March 16, 2020. The reported cases were divided into four age groups: group 1, ≤ 14 years old; group 2, 15 to 44 years old; group 3, 44 to 64 years old; and group 4, ≥ 65 years old. An age-specific susceptible-exposed-symptomatic-asymptomatic-recovered/removed model was developed to estimate the transmissibility and simulate the optimal vaccination strategy. The effective reproduction number (R
resultsA total of 47 722 new cases were reported in Wuhan City from December 2, 2019, to March 16, 2020. Before the travel ban of Wuhan City, the highest transmissibility was observed among age group 2 (R
conclusionsApproximately 85% of the total population (nearly 1.2 billion people) should be vaccinated to build an immune barrier in China to safely consider removing border restrictions. Based on these results, we concluded that 90% of adults aged 15-64 years should first be vaccinated to prevent transmission in China.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.