ArticleBiostatistics (Oxford, England)2023
Integrated causal-predictive machine learning models for tropical cyclone epidemiology.
Article in Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 3 citations in OpenAlex.
- Health Effects of Cyclones: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Epidemiological Studies.Environmental health perspectives · 2023Pooled it
- Practical Considerations for Gaussian Process Modeling for Causal Inference in Quasi-Experimental Studies With Panel Data.Statistics in medicine · 2026Article
- Prematurity and Multidimensional Risk Patterns in Adolescent and Adult Pregnancies: A Principal Component Analysis in an Eastern European Cohort.Children (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Spatio-temporal quasi-experimental methods for rare disease outcomes: the impact of reformulated gasoline on childhood haematologic cancer.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2025Article
- Climate change and the global food chain: a catalyst for emerging infectious diseases?International journal of emergency medicine · 2025Review
- Hospitalization risk and burden for cause-specific cardiovascular diseases following tropical cyclones: A multicountry study.Science advances · 2025Article
- Severe flooding and cause-specific hospitalisation among older adults in the USA: a retrospective matched cohort analysis.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2025Article
- A scoping review and thematic analysis of the effects of tropical cyclones on diarrheal diseases.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2025Review
- The future of climate health research: An urgent call for equitable action- and solution-oriented science.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2024Article
- A Bayesian multivariate factor analysis model for causal inference using time-series observational data on mixed outcomes.Biostatistics (Oxford, England) · 2024Article
- Tropical cyclone-specific mortality risks and the periods of concern: A multicountry time-series study.PLoS medicine · 2024Article
- Health disparities among older adults following tropical cyclone exposure in Florida.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Article
- Impact of Hurricanes and Associated Extreme Weather Events on Cardiovascular Health: A Scoping Review.Environmental health perspectives · 2022Article
- Exposure Assessment for Tropical Cyclone Epidemiology.Current environmental health reports · 2022Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
Strategic preparedness reduces the adverse health impacts of hurricanes and tropical storms, referred to collectively as tropical cyclones (TCs), but its protective impact could be enhanced by a more comprehensive and rigorous characterization of TC epidemiology. To generate the insights and tools necessary for high-precision TC preparedness, we introduce a machine learning approach that standardizes estimation of historic TC health impacts, discovers common patterns and sources of heterogeneity in those health impacts, and enables identification of communities at highest health risk for future TCs. The model integrates (i) a causal inference component to quantify the immediate health impacts of recent historic TCs at high spatial resolution and (ii) a predictive component that captures how TC meteorological features and socioeconomic/demographic characteristics of impacted communities are associated with health impacts. We apply it to a rich data platform containing detailed historic TC exposure information and records of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular- and respiratory-related hospitalization among Medicare recipients. We report a high degree of heterogeneity in the acute health impacts of historic TCs, both within and across TCs, and, on average, substantial TC-attributable increases in respiratory hospitalizations. TC-sustained windspeeds are found to be the primary driver of mortality and respiratory risks.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.