Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34961377›Full record

ArticleMedical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making2022

A Revised Framework to Evaluate the Consistency Assumption Globally in a Network of Interventions.

Loukia M Spineli

Abstract readNetwork Meta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Article in Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Loukia M SpineliMidwifery Research and Education Unit, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-9515-582X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe unrelated mean effects (UME) model has been proposed for evaluating the consistency assumption globally in the network of interventions. However, the UME model does not accommodate multiarm trials properly and omits comparisons between nonbaseline interventions in the multiarm trials not investigated in 2-arm trials.

methodsWe proposed a refinement of the UME model that tackles the limitations mentioned above. We also accompanied the scatterplots on the posterior mean deviance contributions of the trial arms under the network meta-analysis (NMA) and UME models with Bland-Altman plots to detect outlying trials contributing to poor model fit. We applied the refined and original UME models to 2 networks with multiarm trials.

resultsThe original UME model omitted more than 20% of the observed comparisons in both networks. The thorough inspection of the individual data points' deviance contribution using complementary plots in conjunction with the measures of model fit and the estimated between-trial variance indicated that the refined and original UME models revealed possible inconsistency in both examples.

conclusionsThe refined UME model allows proper accommodation of the multiarm trials and visualization of all observed evidence in complex networks of interventions. Furthermore, considering several complementary plots to investigate deviance helps draw informed conclusions on the possibility of global inconsistency in the network. HIGHLIGHTS: We have refined the unrelated mean effects (UME) model to incorporate multiarm trials properly and to estimate all observed comparisons in complex networks of interventions.Forest plots with posterior summaries of all observed comparisons under the network meta-analysis and refined UME model can uncover the consequences of potential inconsistency in the network.Using complementary plots to investigate the individual data points' deviance contribution in conjunction with model fit measures and estimated heterogeneity aid in detecting possible inconsistency.

Indexed as

HumansBland-Altman plotconsistency assumptiondeviance information criterionnetwork meta-analysis

Identifiers

PMID34961377
PMCPMC9189723

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.