Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34948563›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2021

Can Major Public Health Emergencies Affect Changes in International Oil Prices?

An Cheng, Tonghui Chen, Guogang Jiang, Xinru Han

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

An ChengWu Jinglian School of Economics, Changzhou University, Changzhou 213159, China.ORCID 0000-0002-4095-5819
Tonghui ChenInstitute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China.
Guogang JiangWu Jinglian School of Economics, Changzhou University, Changzhou 213159, China.
Xinru HanInstitute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1673-7803

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In order to deepen the understanding of the impact of major public health emergencies on the oil market and to enhance the risk response capability, this study analyzed the logical relationship between major public health emergencies and international oil price changes, identified the change points, and calculated the probability of abrupt changes to international oil prices. Based on monthly data during six major public health emergencies from 2009 to 2020, this study built a product partition model. The results show that only the influenza A (H1N1) and COVID-19 pandemics were significant reasons for abrupt changes in international oil prices. Furthermore, the wild poliovirus epidemic, the Ebola epidemic, the Zika epidemic, and the Ebola epidemic in the Democratic Republic of the Congo had limited effects. Overall, the outbreak of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) in major global economies has a more pronounced impact on international oil prices.

Indexed as

COVID-19Influenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeZika VirusZika Virus InfectionDisease OutbreaksEmergenciesHumansPublic HealthSARS-CoV-2COVID-19international oil priceproduct partition modelpublic health emergency of international concernUS dollar index

Identifiers

PMID34948563
PMCPMC8701035

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.