ArticleEnvironmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.)2021
Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale: A Multicountry Study.
Article in Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
43 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Building the model: a review of input structures in extreme temperature-health.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2026Pooled it
- A Nationwide Comparative Analysis of Temperature-Related Mortality and Morbidity in Japan.Environmental health perspectives · 2023Pooled it
- The Association Between Outdoor Temperature During the Past Weeks and Current Fluid Homeostasis.Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2026Article
- Spatial heterogeneity in the burden of respiratory syncytial virus infection attributable to low and high ambient temperature in Japan: a nationwide time-stratified case-crossover analysis.Respiratory research · 2026Article
- Extreme heat reduces and reshapes urban mobility.PNAS nexus · 2026Article
- Association Between Observed Climate Change and Cardiovascular Disease in the United States.GeoHealth · 2026Article
- Associations between non-optimum temperatures and cardiovascular hospital admissions and effect modification by ambient particulate air pollution: a two-stage time-series study in China.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2026Article
- Exploring 130 years of temperature-related mortality in the city of Madrid.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Determining Location-Specific Thresholds for Heat Warning Systems to Mitigate Heatstroke Mortality in Japan.Environment & health (Washington, D.C.) · 2026Article
- Definition of mortality-associated thermal markers for an extreme heat alert system in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil.Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology · 2026Article
- Expert perspectives on exposure-response functions for urban health policy: Lessons from a UBDPolicy workshop.Environmental research · 2026Review
- Risk of hospitalization and mortality across US climate regions following extreme heat exposure in patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) receiving in-center hemodialysis: a space-time-stratified case-crossover analysis.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2025Article
- The effectiveness of heat prevention plans in reducing heat-related mortality across Europe.Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2025Article
- Global excess deaths associated with heatwaves in 2023 and the contribution of human-induced climate change.Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.)) · 2025Article
- Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat-Related Health Impacts in the Arabian Peninsula.GeoHealth · 2025Review
- Short-term effects of ambient air pollutants and meteorological factors on emergency department visits in tropical Haikou, China.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Mediation of Fine Particulate Matter on the Association Between Daily Temperature and Mortality.Journal of Korean medical science · 2025Article
- Ten new insights in climate science 2024.One earth (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2025Review
- The differential effect of ambient temperature on age-specific and sex-specific mortality in the 300 largest cities of Russia, 2000-19: a first national time-series study.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2025Article
- Suitable temperature indicator for adverse health impacts in sub-tropical cities: a case study in Hong Kong from 2010-2019.International journal of biometeorology · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
67 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundMinimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale.
methodsWe collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to derive the MMT for each community using Poisson regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We investigated the variation in MMT by climatic zone using a mixed-effects meta-analysis and explored the association with climatic and socioeconomic indicators.
resultsThe geographical distribution of MMTs varied considerably by country between 14.2 and 31.1 °C decreasing by latitude. For climatic zones, the MMTs increased from alpine (13.0 °C) to continental (19.3 °C), temperate (21.7 °C), arid (24.5 °C), and tropical (26.5 °C). The MMT percentiles (MMTPs) corresponding to the MMTs decreased from temperate (79.5th) to continental (75.4th), arid (68.0th), tropical (58.5th), and alpine (41.4th). The MMTs indreased by 0.8 °C for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature, and by 1 °C for a 1 °C rise in its SD. While the MMTP decreased by 0.3 centile points for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature and by 1.3 for a 1 °C rise in its SD.
conclusionsThe geographical distribution of the MMTs and MMTPs is driven mainly by the mean annual temperature, which seems to be a valuable indicator of overall adaptation across populations. Our results suggest that populations have adapted to the average temperature, although there is still more room for adaptation.
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