Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34934176›Full record

Observational studyBritish journal of cancer2022

Consultations for clinical features of possible cancer and associated urgent referrals before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: an observational cohort study from English primary care.

Brian D Nicholson, José M Ordóñez-Mena, Sarah Lay-Flurrie, James P Sheppard, Harshana Liyanage, Dylan McGagh, Julian Sherlock, John Williams, Margaret Smith, Cynthia Wright Drakesmith and 6 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in British journal of cancer, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
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  5. Review
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  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Transforming post pandemic cancer services.British journal of cancer · 2024
    Review
  11. Article
  12. What is the impact of hospital and surgeon volumes on outcomes in rectal cancer surgery?Colorectal disease : the official journal of the Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
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  17. Underlying cancer risk among patients with fatigue and other vague symptoms: a population-based cohort study in primary care.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2023
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Brian D Nicholson *Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. brian.nicholson@phc.ox.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0661-7362
José M Ordóñez-Mena *Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Sarah Lay-Flurrie *Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
James P Sheppard *Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Harshana LiyanageNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Dylan McGaghMagdalen College, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 4AU, UK.
Julian SherlockNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
John WilliamsNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Margaret SmithNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Cynthia Wright DrakesmithNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Nicholas P B ThomasRoyal College of General Practitioners, 30 Euston Square, London, NW1 2FB, UK.
Eva J A MorrisNuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1075-6544
Rafael PereraNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Simon de LusignanNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
F D Richard HobbsNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Clare R BankheadNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
University of Oxford · GBAnimal and Plant Health Agency · GBRoyal College of General Practitioners · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIt remains unclear to what extent reductions in urgent referrals for suspected cancer during the COVID-19 pandemic were the result of fewer patients attending primary care compared to GPs referring fewer patients.

methodsCohort study including electronic health records data from 8,192,069 patients from 663 English practices. Weekly consultation rates, cumulative consultations and referrals were calculated for 28 clinical features from the NICE suspected cancer guidelines. Clinical feature consultation rate ratios (CRR) and urgent referral rate ratios (RRR) compared time periods in 2020 with 2019.

findingsConsultations for cancer clinical features decreased by 24.19% (95% CI: 24.04-24.34%) between 2019 and 2020, particularly in the 6-12 weeks following the first national lockdown. Urgent referrals for clinical features decreased by 10.47% (95% CI: 9.82-11.12%) between 2019 and 2020. Overall, once patients consulted with primary care, GPs urgently referred a similar or greater proportion of patients compared to previous years.

conclusionDue to the significant fall in patients consulting with clinical features of cancer there was a lower than expected number of urgent referrals in 2020. Sustained efforts should be made throughout the pandemic to encourage the public to consult their GP with cancer clinical features.

Indexed as

COVID-19NeoplasmsCohort StudiesCommunicable Disease ControlHumansPandemicsPrimary Health CareReferral and Consultation

Identifiers

PMID34934176
PMCPMC8691390
OpenAlexW3215301237

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.