Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34933115›Full record

SynthesisJournal of clinical epidemiology2022

Bias as a source of inconsistency in ivermectin trials for COVID-19: A systematic review. Ivermectin's suggested benefits are mainly based on potentially biased results.

Ariel Izcovich, Sasha Peiris, Martín Ragusa, Fernando Tortosa, Gabriel Rada, Sylvain Aldighieri, Ludovic Reveiz

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of clinical epidemiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Ivermectin for preventing and treating COVID-19.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2022
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  13. The importance of meta-research in dentistry.Evidence-based dentistry · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Ariel IzcovichIncident Management System for the Covid-19 Response. Pan American Health Organization, 525 23rd St, Northwest Washington, DC 20037-2895. Electronic address: ariel.izcovich@gmail.com.
Sasha PeirisIncident Management System for the Covid-19 Response. Pan American Health Organization, 525 23rd St, Northwest Washington, DC 20037-2895.
Martín RagusaEvidence and Intelligence for Action in Health Department. Pan American Health Organization, Northwest Washington, DC.
Fernando TortosaEvidence and Intelligence for Action in Health Department. Pan American Health Organization, Northwest Washington, DC.
Gabriel RadaFundación Epistemonikos, Providencia, SAN, Chile.
Sylvain AldighieriIncident Management System for the Covid-19 Response. Pan American Health Organization, 525 23rd St, Northwest Washington, DC 20037-2895.
Ludovic ReveizIncident Management System for the Covid-19 Response. Pan American Health Organization, 525 23rd St, Northwest Washington, DC 20037-2895.
World Health Organization Regional Office for the Americas · USFundación Chile · CL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe objective of this systematic review is to summarize the effects of ivermectin for the prevention and treatment of patients with COVID-19 and to assess inconsistencies in results from individual studies with focus on risk of bias due to methodological limitations.

methodsWe searched the L.OVE platform through July 6, 2021 and included randomized trials (RCTs) comparing ivermectin to standard or other active treatments. We conducted random-effects pairwise meta-analysis, assessed the certainty of evidence using the GRADE approach and performed sensitivity analysis excluding trials with risk of bias.

resultsWe included 29 RCTs which enrolled 5592 cases. Overall, the certainty of the evidence was very low to low suggesting that ivermectin may result in important benefits. However, after excluding trials classified as "high risk" or "some concerns" in the risk of bias assessment, most estimates of effect changed substantially: Compared to standard of care, low certainty evidence suggests that ivermectin may not reduce mortality (RD 7 fewer per 1000) nor mechanical ventilation (RD 6 more per 1000), and moderate certainty evidence shows that it probably does not increase symptom resolution or improvement (RD 14 more per 1000) nor viral clearance (RD 12 fewer per 1000).

conclusionIvermectin may not improve clinically important outcomes in patients with COVID-19 and its effects as a prophylactic intervention in exposed individuals are uncertain. Previous reports concluding important benefits associated with ivermectin are based on potentially biased results reported by studies with substantial methodological limitations. Further research is needed.

Indexed as

COVID-19 Drug TreatmentIvermectinBiasHumansRespiration, ArtificialSARS-CoV-2IvermectinbiasCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19ivermectinSARS-CoV-2Systematic review

Identifiers

PMID34933115
PMCPMC8684188
OpenAlexW4200397938

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.