Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34931401›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology2022

Detecting climate signals in populations across life histories.

Stéphanie Jenouvrier, Matthew C Long, Christophe F D Coste, Marika Holland, Marlène Gamelon, Nigel G Yoccoz, Bernt-Erik Saether

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Stéphanie JenouvrierBiology Department, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3324-2383
Matthew C LongNational Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA.
Christophe F D CosteCentre for Biodiversity Dynamics, Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3680-5049
Marika HollandNational Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5621-8939
Marlène GamelonCentre for Biodiversity Dynamics, Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9433-2369
Nigel G YoccozDepartment of Arctic and Marine Biology, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2192-1039
Bernt-Erik SaetherCentre for Biodiversity Dynamics, Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0049-9767

Funding

Institute Paul Emile VictorNASA 80NSSC20K1289NSF OPP 1744794NSF OPP 2037561Terres Australes et Antarctiques Françaises
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate impacts are not always easily discerned in wild populations as detecting climate change signals in populations is challenged by stochastic noise associated with natural climate variability, variability in biotic and abiotic processes, and observation error in demographic rates. Detection of the impact of climate change on populations requires making a formal distinction between signals in the population associated with long-term climate trends from those generated by stochastic noise. The time of emergence (ToE) identifies when the signal of anthropogenic climate change can be quantitatively distinguished from natural climate variability. This concept has been applied extensively in the climate sciences, but has not been explored in the context of population dynamics. Here, we outline an approach to detecting climate-driven signals in populations based on an assessment of when climate change drives population dynamics beyond the envelope characteristic of stochastic variations in an unperturbed state. Specifically, we present a theoretical assessment of the time of emergence of climate-driven signals in population dynamics (

Indexed as

Climate ChangeSpheniscidaeAnimalsPopulation DynamicsReproductionclimate changeemperor penguinlife historiespopulation trendpopulation variabilitysignal to noisetime of emergence

Identifiers

PMID34931401
PMCPMC9303565

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.