Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34930736›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2021

Bridging the impactibility gap in population health management: a systematic review.

Andi Orlowski, Sally Snow, Heather Humphreys, Wayne Smith, Rebecca Siân Jones, Rachel Ashton, Jackie Buck, Alex Bottle

Open access · goldAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Population health management fit lifecycles in analytics.Frontiers in artificial intelligence · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Andi OrlowskiHealth Economics Unit, Stoke on Trent, UK a.orlowski19@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-1463-9206
Sally SnowHealth Economics Unit, Stoke on Trent, UK.
Heather HumphreysHealth Economics Unit, Stoke on Trent, UK.
Wayne SmithHealth Economics Unit, Stoke on Trent, UK.
Rebecca Siân JonesImperial College Libraries, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Rachel AshtonHealth Economics Unit, Stoke on Trent, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1755-7975
Jackie BuckFaculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.
Alex BottleDepartment of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9978-2011
Stoke-on-Trent City Council · GBImperial College London · GBUniversity of East Anglia · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesAssess whether impactibility modelling is being used to refine risk stratification for preventive health interventions.

designSystematic review.

settingPrimary and secondary healthcare populations. PAPERS: Articles published from 2010 to 2020 on the use or implementation of impactibility modelling in population health management, reported with the terms 'intervenability', 'amenability', and 'propensity to succeed' (PTS) and associated with the themes 'care sensitivity', 'characteristic responders', 'needs gap', 'case finding', 'patient selection' and 'risk stratification'.

interventionsQualitative synthesis to identify themes for approaches to impactibility modelling.

resultsOf 1244 records identified, 20 were eligible for inclusion. Identified themes were 'health conditions amenable to care' (n=6), 'PTS modelling' (n=8) and 'comparison or combination with clinical judgement' (n=6). For the theme 'health conditions amenable to care', changes in practice did not reduce admissions, particularly for ambulatory care sensitive conditions, and sometimes increased them, with implementation noted as a possible issue. For 'PTS modelling', high costs and needs did not necessarily equate to high impactibility and targeting a larger number of individuals with disorders associated with lower costs had more potential. PTS modelling seemed to improve accuracy in care planning, estimation of cost savings, engagement and/or care quality. The 'comparison or combination with clinical judgement' theme suggested that models can reach reasonable to good discriminatory power to detect impactable patients. For instance, a model used to identify patients appropriate for proactive multimorbid care management showed good concordance with physicians (c-statistic 0.75). Another model employing electronic health record scores reached 65% concordance with nurse and physician decisions when referring elderly hospitalised patients to a readmission prevention programme. However, healthcare professionals consider much wider information that might improve or impede the likelihood of treatment impact, suggesting that complementary use of models might be optimum.

conclusionsThe efficiency and equity of targeted preventive care guided by risk stratification could be augmented and personalised by impactibility modelling.

Indexed as

Population HealthPopulation Health ManagementAgedHospitalizationHumansPreventive Health ServicesQuality of Health Carepublic healthrisk managementtherapeutics

Identifiers

PMID34930736
PMCPMC8689179
OpenAlexW4200588639

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.