Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34923344›Full record

ArticleJournal of health economics2022

God is in the rain: The impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on COVID-19 outbreaks.

Ajay Shenoy, Bhavyaa Sharma, Guanghong Xu, Rolly Kapoor, Haedong Aiden Rho, Kinpritma Sangha

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of health economics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
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  9. The Effect of Pollution on the Spread of COVID-19 in Europe.Economics of disasters and climate change · 2022
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
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  15. Article
  16. Political beliefs affect compliance with government mandates.Journal of economic behavior & organization · 2021
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Ajay ShenoyUniversity of California, Santa Cruz, United States. Electronic address: http://people.ucsc.edu/~azshenoy.
Bhavyaa SharmaUniversity of California, Santa Cruz, United States. Electronic address: https://economics.ucsc.edu/about/people/phd.html.
Guanghong XuUniversity of California, Santa Cruz, United States. Electronic address: https://economics.ucsc.edu/about/people/phd.html.
Rolly KapoorUniversity of California, Santa Cruz, United States. Electronic address: https://economics.ucsc.edu/about/people/phd.html.
Haedong Aiden RhoUniversity of California, Santa Cruz, United States. Electronic address: https://economics.ucsc.edu/about/people/phd.html.
Kinpritma SanghaSiemens Healthineers. Electronic address: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kinpritma-sangha-31100b92/.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We measure the benefit to society created by preventing COVID-19 deaths through a marginal increase in early social distancing. We exploit county-level rainfall on the last weekend before statewide lockdown in the early phase of the pandemic. After controlling for historical rainfall, temperature, and state fixed-effects, current rainfall is a plausibly exogenous instrument for social distancing. A one percent decrease in the population leaving home on the weekend before lockdown creates an average of 132 dollars of benefit per county resident within 2 weeks. The impacts of earlier distancing compound over time and mainly arise from lowering the risk of a major outbreak, yielding large but unevenly distributed social benefit.

Indexed as

COVID-19Communicable Disease ControlDisease OutbreaksHumansPhysical DistancingRainSARS-CoV-2CoronavirusCOVID-19RainfallSocial distancing

Identifiers

PMID34923344
PMCPMC8654737

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.