Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34922497›Full record

ArticleBMC pulmonary medicine2021

Development of a model to predict recurrence after bronchial artery embolization for non-cancer related hemoptysis.

Hai-Tao Yan, Guang-Dong Lu, Xiang-Zhong Huang, Da-Zhong Zhang, Kun-Yuan Ge, Jin-Xing Zhang, Jin Liu, Sheng Liu, Hai-Bin Shi, Qing-Quan Zu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.1field-weighted citation impact, top 47% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Observational
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  7. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Hai-Tao Yan *Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital With Nanjing Medical University, No. 300 Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, 210029, China.
Guang-Dong Lu *Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital With Nanjing Medical University, No. 300 Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, 210029, China.
Xiang-Zhong HuangDepartment of Interventional Radiology, Jiangyin People's Hospital, Wuxi, 214400, China.
Da-Zhong ZhangDepartment of Interventional Radiology, Jiangsu Taizhou People's Hospital, Taizhou, 225300, China.
Kun-Yuan GeDepartment of Interventional Radiology, Yixing People's Hospital, Wuxi, 214200, China.
Jin-Xing ZhangDepartment of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital With Nanjing Medical University, No. 300 Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, 210029, China.
Jin LiuDepartment of Clinical Medicine Research Institution, The First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210029, China.
Sheng LiuDepartment of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital With Nanjing Medical University, No. 300 Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, 210029, China.
Hai-Bin ShiDepartment of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital With Nanjing Medical University, No. 300 Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, 210029, China. shihb@njmu.edu.cn.
Qing-Quan ZuDepartment of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital With Nanjing Medical University, No. 300 Guangzhou Road, Nanjing, 210029, China. zuqingquan@njmu.edu.cn.
Nanjing Medical University · CNJiangyin People's Hospital · CNNantong University · CNYixing People's Hospital · CN

Funding

Construction Program of Jiangsu Province Clinical Research Center Support System BL2014084Jiangsu Province's Key Talents Program QNRC2016559
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRelapse after effective bronchial arterial embolization (BAE) for controlling hemoptysis is not uncommon. Studies reported diverse predictors of recurrence. However, a model to assess the probability of recurrence in non-cancer related hemoptysis patients after BAE has not been reported. This study was to develop a model to predict recurrence after BAE for non-cancer related hemoptysis.

methodsThe study cohort included 487 patients who underwent BAE for non-cancer-related hemoptysis between January 2015 and December 2019. We derived the model's variables from univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The model presented as a nomogram scaled by the proportional regression coefficient of each predictor. Model performance was assessed with respect to discrimination and calibration.

resultsOne-month and 1-, 2-, 3- and 5-year recurrence-free rates were 94.5%, 88.0%, 81.4%, 76.2% and 73.8%, respectively. Risk factors for recurrence were underlying lung diseases and the presence of systemic arterial-pulmonary circulation shunts. This risk prediction model with two risk factors provided good discrimination (area under curve, 0.69; 95% confidence interval, 0.62-0.76), and lower prediction error (integrated Brier score, 0.143).

conclusionThe proposed model based on routinely available clinical and imaging features demonstrates good performance for predicting recurrence of non-cancer-related hemoptysis after BAE. The model may assist clinicians in identifying higher-risk patients to improve the long-term efficacy of BAE.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overBronchial ArteriesCohort StudiesEmbolization, TherapeuticFemaleHemoptysisHumansMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRecurrenceRisk AssessmentBronchial arteriesEmbolizationHemoptysisNomogramsRecurrenceTherapeutic

Identifiers

PMID34922497
PMCPMC8684203
OpenAlexW4200233917

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.