Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34922471›Full record

ArticleBMC geriatrics2021

Social isolation, social support and loneliness as predictors of cardiovascular disease incidence and mortality.

Rosanne Freak-Poli, Joanne Ryan, Johannes T Neumann, Andrew Tonkin, Christopher M Reid, Robyn L Woods, Mark Nelson, Nigel Stocks, Michael Berk, John J McNeil and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC geriatrics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 79 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
79citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
9.8field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

79 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 143 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Cardiovascular Health of Single Mothers: A Systematic Review.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2025
    Pooled it
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  7. Are social isolation, lack of social support or loneliness risk factors for cardiovascular disease in Australia and New Zealand? A systematic review and meta-analysis.Health promotion journal of Australia : official journal of Australian Association of Health Promotion Professionals · 2022
    Pooled it
  8. Promoting Social Connectedness Through Interbrain Neurofeedback.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2025
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19 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.

Rosanne Freak-PoliDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, 3004, Melbourne, Victoria, VIC, Australia. Rosanne.Freak-Poli@monash.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-4072-8699
Joanne RyanDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, 3004, Melbourne, Victoria, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-7039-6325
Johannes T NeumannDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, 3004, Melbourne, Victoria, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-9478-2757
Andrew TonkinDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, 3004, Melbourne, Victoria, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-5291-0610
Christopher M ReidDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, 3004, Melbourne, Victoria, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-9173-3944
Robyn L WoodsDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, 3004, Melbourne, Victoria, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-1249-6149
Mark NelsonDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, 3004, Melbourne, Victoria, VIC, Australia.
Nigel StocksDiscipline of General Practice, Adelaide Medical School, University of Adelaide, 5005, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
Michael BerkDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, 3004, Melbourne, Victoria, VIC, Australia.
John J McNeilDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, 3004, Melbourne, Victoria, VIC, Australia.
Carlene BrittDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, 3004, Melbourne, Victoria, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-4807-6069
Alice J OwenDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, 3004, Melbourne, Victoria, VIC, Australia. Alice.Owen@monash.edu.
Monash University · AUBarwon Health · AUCurtin University · AUGerman Centre for Cardiovascular Research · DEMonash Health · AUThe University of Adelaide · AUUniversity of Tasmania · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPoor social health is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Recent research suggests that different social health domains should be considered separately as the implications for health and possible interventions may differ.

aimTo assess social isolation, low social support and loneliness as predictors of CVD.

methodsSecondary analysis of 11,486 community-dwelling, Australians, aged 70 years and over, free of CVD, dementia, or significant physical disability, from the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial. Social isolation, social support (Revised Lubben Social Network Scale), and loneliness were assessed as predictors of CVD using Cox proportional-hazard regression. CVD events included fatal CVD, heart failure hospitalization, myocardial infarction and stroke. Analyses were adjusted for established CVD risk factors.

resultsIndividuals with poor social health were 42 % more likely to develop CVD (p = 0.01) and twice as likely to die from CVD (p = 0.02) over a median 4.5 years follow-up. Interaction effects indicated that poorer social health more strongly predicted CVD in smokers (HR 4.83, p = 0.001, p-interaction = 0.01), major city dwellers (HR 1.94, p < 0.001, p-interaction=0.03), and younger older adults (70-75 years; HR 2.12, p < 0.001, p-interaction = 0.01). Social isolation (HR 1.66, p = 0.04) and low social support (HR 2.05, p = 0.002), but not loneliness (HR 1.4, p = 0.1), predicted incident CVD. All measures of poor social health predicted ischemic stroke (HR 1.73 to 3.16).

conclusionsAmong healthy older adults, social isolation and low social support may be more important than loneliness as cardiovascular risk factors. Social health domains should be considered in future CVD risk prediction models.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesLonelinessAgedAged, 80 and overAustraliaHumansIncidenceRisk FactorsSocial IsolationSocial SupportAgingCardiovascular DiseasesGeriatricsInterpersonal RelationsLonelinessSocial IsolationSocial Support

Identifiers

PMID34922471
PMCPMC8684069
OpenAlexW4200480463

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.