Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34919977›Full record

ArticleJournal of virological methods2022

Time series analysis and predicting COVID-19 affected patients by ARIMA model using machine learning.

Fuad Ahmed Chyon, Md Nazmul Hasan Suman, Md Rafiul Islam Fahim, Md Sazol Ahmmed

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of virological methods, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Fuad Ahmed ChyonRajshahi University of Engineering & Technology (RUET), Kazla, Motihar, Rajshahi, 6204, Bangladesh. Electronic address: fuadchyon@gmail.com.
Md Nazmul Hasan SumanRajshahi University of Engineering & Technology (RUET), Kazla, Motihar, Rajshahi, 6204, Bangladesh. Electronic address: nhsuman.ruet@gmail.com.
Md Rafiul Islam FahimRajshahi University of Engineering & Technology (RUET), Kazla, Motihar, Rajshahi, 6204, Bangladesh. Electronic address: fahim303660@gmail.com.
Md Sazol AhmmedRajshahi University of Engineering & Technology (RUET), Kazla, Motihar, Rajshahi, 6204, Bangladesh. Electronic address: sojol.ipe11@gmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The spread of a respiratory syndrome known as Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) quickly took on pandemic proportions, affecting over 192 countries. An emergency of the health system was obligated for the response to this epidemic. Although containment measures in China reduced new cases by more than 90 %, the levels of reduction were not the same in other countries. So, the question that arises is: what the world will see this pandemic, and how many patients can be affected? The response would be helpful and supportive of the authority and the community to prepare for the coming days. In this study, the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model was employed to analyze the temporal dynamics of the worldwide spread of COVID-19 in the time window from January 22, 2020 to April 7, 2020. The cumulative number of confirmed Covid-19-affected patients forecasted over the three months was between 9,189,262 - 14,906,483 worldwide. This prediction value of Covid 19-affected patients will be valid only if the situation remains unchanged, and the epidemic spreads according to the previous nature worldwide in these three months.

Indexed as

COVID-19HumansMachine LearningModels, StatisticalSARS-CoV-2Time FactorsARIMA modelCOVID-19Data AnalysisMachine LearningTime Series Analysis

Identifiers

PMID34919977
PMCPMC8669956

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.