Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34916122›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of cancer (Oxford, England : 1990)2022

An imaging signature to predict outcome in metastatic colorectal cancer using routine computed tomography scans.

Laurent Dercle, Binsheng Zhao, Mithat Gönen, Chaya S Moskowitz, Dana E Connors, Hao Yang, Lin Lu, Diane Reidy-Lagunes, Tito Fojo, Sanja Karovic and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of cancer (Oxford, England : 1990), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Laurent DercleDepartment of Radiology, Columbia University Medical Center and New York Presbyterian Hospital, 710 West 168th St., New York, NY 10032, USA. Electronic address: ld2752@cumc.columbia.edu.
Binsheng ZhaoDepartment of Radiology, Columbia University Medical Center and New York Presbyterian Hospital, 710 West 168th St., New York, NY 10032, USA.
Mithat GönenDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, 1275 York Avenue, New York, NY 10065, USA.
Chaya S MoskowitzDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, 1275 York Avenue, New York, NY 10065, USA.
Dana E ConnorsFoundation for the National Institutes of Health (FNIH), 11400 Rockville Pike, Suite 600, North Bethesda, MD 20852, USA.
Hao YangDepartment of Radiology, Columbia University Medical Center and New York Presbyterian Hospital, 710 West 168th St., New York, NY 10032, USA.
Lin LuDepartment of Radiology, Columbia University Medical Center and New York Presbyterian Hospital, 710 West 168th St., New York, NY 10032, USA.
Diane Reidy-LagunesMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, 1275 York Avenue, New York, NY 10065, USA.
Tito FojoColumbia University Herbert Irving Comprehensive Cancer Center, 161 Fort Washington Ave., New York, NY 10032, USA.
Sanja KarovicInova Center for Personalized Health and Schar Cancer Institute, 8100 Innovation Park Dr, Fairfax, VA 22031, USA.
Michael L MaitlandInova Center for Personalized Health and Schar Cancer Institute, 8100 Innovation Park Dr, Fairfax, VA 22031, USA; University of Virginia Cancer Center, 1240 Lee St., Charlottesville, VA 22903, USA.
Geoffrey R OxnardDana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, 450 Brookline Ave., Boston, MA 02215, USA.
Lawrence H SchwartzDepartment of Radiology, Columbia University Medical Center and New York Presbyterian Hospital, 710 West 168th St., New York, NY 10032, USA.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
VectorP30CA006516 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INSTITUTE · PI A. Heather Eliassen · 1985 to 2026
$330.6M
Integrating Radiomics into S0819 and Lung-MAP, Biomarker Driven Clinical Trials for Lung CancerU01CA225431 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI SCHWARTZ, LAWRENCE H, ZHAO, BINSHENG · 2018 to 2022
$3.1M
Computational modeling of tumor burden by CT to advance cancer therapeuticsR01CA194783 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI BRUNO, RENE, MAITLAND, MICHAEL L. · 2015 to 2020
$2.9M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA006516NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS R01 CA194783NCI NIH HHS U01 CA225431
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsQuantitative analysis of computed tomography (CT) scans of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) can identify imaging signatures that predict overall survival (OS).

methodsWe retrospectively analysed CT images from 1584 mCRC patients on two phase III trials evaluating FOLFOX ± panitumumab (n = 331, 350) and FOLFIRI ± aflibercept (n = 437, 466). In the training set (n = 720), an algorithm was trained to predict OS landmarked from month 2; the output was a signature value on a scale from 0 to 1 (most to least favourable predicted OS). In the validation set (n = 864), hazard ratios (HRs) evaluated the association of the signature with OS using RECIST1.1 as a benchmark of comparison.

resultsIn the training set, the selected signature combined three features - change in tumour volume, change in tumour spatial heterogeneity, and tumour volume - to predict OS. In the validation set, RECIST1.1 classified patients in three categories: response (n = 166, 19.2%), stable disease (n = 636, 73.6%), and progression (n = 62, 7.2%). The HR was 3.93 (2.79-5.54). Using the same distribution for the signature, the HR was 21.04 (14.88-30.58), showing an incremental prognostic separation. Stable disease by RECIST1.1 was reclassified by the signature along a continuum where patients belonging to the most and least favourable signature quartiles had a median OS of 40.73 (28.49 to NA) months (n = 94) and 7.03 (5.66-7.89) months (n = 166), respectively.

conclusionsA signature combining three imaging features provides early prognostic information that can improve treatment decisions for individual patients and clinical trial analyses.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials, Phase III as TopicColorectal NeoplasmsEvaluation Studies as TopicHumansPrognosisRetrospective StudiesTomography, X-Ray ComputedTumor BurdenColorectal cancerCT scanRadiomics

Identifiers

PMID34916122
PMCPMC10018811

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.