Trial reportThe New England journal of medicine2022
Molnupiravir for Oral Treatment of Covid-19 in Nonhospitalized Patients.
Trial report in The New England journal of medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 5 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 1,071 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
A Phase 2/3, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled, Double-Blind Clinical Study to Evaluate the Efficacy, Safety, and Pharmacokinetics of MK-4482 in Non-Hospitalized Adults With COVID-19.
Calcifediol in the Treatment of COVID 19. Modification of Therapeutic Response by Best Available Treatment or Other Treatment or Clinical Variables
Immunobridging Study: Immunogenicity and Safety of Vaksin Merah Putih - UA SARS-CoV-2 (Vero Cell Inactivated) Vaccine as Heterologue Booster in Adult Subjects in Indonesia
Immunobridging Study: Immunogenicity and Safety of INAVAC (Vaksin Merah Putih - UNAIR SARS-CoV-2 (Vero Cell Inactivated)) Vaccine as Homologue Booster in Adult Subjects in Indonesia
Immunobridging Study: Immunogenicity and Safety of INAVAC (Vaksin Merah Putih - UNAIR SARS-CoV-2 (Vero Cell Inactivated)) as Heterologue Booster in Adolescent Subjects in Indonesia
Who cites it
1,071 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 1,869 citations in OpenAlex.
- Effectiveness of Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir for Outpatients in the Era of Omicron, Vaccination, and Previous Infection: A Meta-analysis.Journal of general internal medicine · 2026Pooled it
- Guideline
- Treatment of Non-severe COVID-19 with Molnupiravir: A Systematic Review with Meta-analysis and Trial Sequential Analysis of the Evidence from Randomized Controlled Trials.Clinical drug investigation · 2026Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Drug treatments for mild or moderate covid-19: systematic review and network meta-analysis.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2025Pooled it
- SARS-CoV-2 infection rebound among patients receiving antiviral agents, convalescent plasma, or no treatment: a systematic review with meta-analysis.Blood transfusion = Trasfusione del sangue · 2024Pooled it
- Population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modelling to evaluate favipiravir in combination with lopinavir-ritonavir in patients with COVID-19.British journal of clinical pharmacology · 2026Trial
- A bidimensional early intervention strategy of standard of care in combination with corticosteroids in elderly patients with mild to moderate COVID-19 (BEAT-COV study): a multicentre, open-label, randomized controlled trial.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Trial
- Molnupiravir or nirmatrelvir-ritonavir plus usual care versus usual care alone in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 (RECOVERY): a randomised, controlled, open-label, platform trial.The Lancet. Infectious diseases · 2025Trial
- Metformin and Time to Sustained Recovery in Adults With COVID-19: The ACTIV-6 Randomized Clinical Trial.JAMA internal medicine · 2025Trial
- Implementation of an Online Drug-Drug Interaction Screener for the STRIVE Ensitrelvir Trial for COVID-19.Open forum infectious diseases · 2025Trial
- Comparison of Molnupiravir Exposure-Response Relationships for Virology Response and Mechanism of Action Biomarkers With Clinical Outcomes in Treatment of COVID-19.Clinical and translational science · 2025Trial
- Pharmacokinetics and bioequivalence of a molnupiravir tablet formulation compared with the molnupiravir capsule formulation in healthy adult participants-a randomized, open-label, three-period, crossover study.Antimicrobial agents and chemotherapy · 2025Trial
- Antiviral and immunomodulatory effect of zapnometinib in animal models and hospitalized COVID-19 patients.Frontiers in immunology · 2025Trial
- Trial
- Real Clinical Effectiveness of Molnupiravir Against 30-day Mortality Among 74 541 SARS-CoV-2-Positive Patients: A Nationwide Cohort Study From the Czech Republic.Open forum infectious diseases · 2024Trial
- Safety and Efficacy of SAB-185 for Nonhospitalized Adults With COVID-19: A Randomized Clinical Trial.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2024Trial
- Nebulized inhalation of plasma-activated water in the treatment of progressive moderate COVID-19 patients with antiviral treatment failure: a randomized controlled pilot trial.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Trial
- Identification of Four Compounds with S-RBD-Binding and Pseudovirus Entry-Inhibitory Activity.International journal of molecular sciences · 2026Article
- Is it "Time to Eliminate" Time to Elimination of Symptoms as a Primary Trial End Point for Drugs Targeting Respiratory Viruses?The Journal of infectious diseases · 2026Article
1,011 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
23 authors at 5 institutions in 5 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundNew treatments are needed to reduce the risk of progression of coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19). Molnupiravir is an oral, small-molecule antiviral prodrug that is active against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2).
methodsWe conducted a phase 3, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of treatment with molnupiravir started within 5 days after the onset of signs or symptoms in nonhospitalized, unvaccinated adults with mild-to-moderate, laboratory-confirmed Covid-19 and at least one risk factor for severe Covid-19 illness. Participants in the trial were randomly assigned to receive 800 mg of molnupiravir or placebo twice daily for 5 days. The primary efficacy end point was the incidence hospitalization or death at day 29; the incidence of adverse events was the primary safety end point. A planned interim analysis was performed when 50% of 1550 participants (target enrollment) had been followed through day 29.
resultsA total of 1433 participants underwent randomization; 716 were assigned to receive molnupiravir and 717 to receive placebo. With the exception of an imbalance in sex, baseline characteristics were similar in the two groups. The superiority of molnupiravir was demonstrated at the interim analysis; the risk of hospitalization for any cause or death through day 29 was lower with molnupiravir (28 of 385 participants [7.3%]) than with placebo (53 of 377 [14.1%]) (difference, -6.8 percentage points; 95% confidence interval [CI], -11.3 to -2.4; P = 0.001). In the analysis of all participants who had undergone randomization, the percentage of participants who were hospitalized or died through day 29 was lower in the molnupiravir group than in the placebo group (6.8% [48 of 709] vs. 9.7% [68 of 699]; difference, -3.0 percentage points; 95% CI, -5.9 to -0.1). Results of subgroup analyses were largely consistent with these overall results; in some subgroups, such as patients with evidence of previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, those with low baseline viral load, and those with diabetes, the point estimate for the difference favored placebo. One death was reported in the molnupiravir group and 9 were reported in the placebo group through day 29. Adverse events were reported in 216 of 710 participants (30.4%) in the molnupiravir group and 231 of 701 (33.0%) in the placebo group.
conclusionsEarly treatment with molnupiravir reduced the risk of hospitalization or death in at-risk, unvaccinated adults with Covid-19. (Funded by Merck Sharp and Dohme; MOVe-OUT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04575597.).
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.