Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34910789›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) to predict poor outcome in hospitalised COVID-19 patients in India.

Pugazhvannan Cr, Ilavarasi Vanidassane, Dhivya Pownraj, Ravichandran Kandasamy, Aneesh Basheer

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. [COVID-19 mortality prediction. Comparison between two scales].Revista medica del Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Pugazhvannan CrDepartment of General Medicine, Pondicherry Institute of Medical Sciences, Puducherry, India.
Ilavarasi VanidassaneDepartment of Medical Oncology, Pondicherry Institute of Medical Sciences, Puducherry, India.
Dhivya PownrajDepartment of General Medicine, Pondicherry Institute of Medical Sciences, Puducherry, India.
Ravichandran KandasamyDepartment of Biostatistics, Pondicherry Institute of Medical Sciences, Puducherry, India.
Aneesh BasheerDepartment of General Medicine, Pondicherry Institute of Medical Sciences, Puducherry, India.ORCID 0000-0003-2071-1400
Pondicherry Institute of Medical Sciences · IN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile several parameters have emerged as predictors of prognosis of COVID-19, a simple clinical score at baseline might help early risk stratification. We determined the ability of National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) to predict poor outcomes among adults with COVID-19.

methodsA prospective study was conducted on 399 hospitalised adults with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection between August and December 2020. Baseline NEWS2 score was determined. Primary outcome was poor outcomes defined as need for mechanical ventilation or death within 28 days. The sensitivity, specificity and Area under the curve were determined for NEWS2 scores of 5 and 6.

resultsMean age of patients was 55.5 ± 14.8 years and 275 of 399 (68.9%) were male. Overall mortality was 3.8% and 7.5% had poor outcomes. Median (interquartile range) NEWS2 score at admission was 2 (0-6). Sensitivity and specificity of NEWS 2 of 5 or more in predicting poor outcomes was 93.3% (95% CI: 76.5-98.8) and 70.7% (95% CI: 65.7-75.3) respectively [area under curve 0.88 (95% CI: 0.847-0.927)]. Age, baseline pulse rate, baseline oxygen saturation, need for supplemental oxygen and ARDS on chest X ray were independently associated with poor outcomes.

conclusionsNEWS2 score of 5 or more at admission predicts poor outcomes in patients with COVID-19 with good sensitivity and can easily be applied for risk stratification at baseline. Further studies are needed in the Indian setting to validate this simple score and recommend widespread use.

Indexed as

COVID-19Early Warning ScoreHospitalizationAdultAgedFemaleHumansIndiaMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesRespiration, ArtificialSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34910789
PMCPMC8673675
OpenAlexW4200459018

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.