Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34907081›Full record

SynthesisClinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research2022

Objective Response Predicts Survival in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Systemic Therapies.

Masatoshi Kudo, Robert Montal, Richard S Finn, Florian Castet, Kazuomi Ueshima, Naoshi Nishida, Philipp K Haber, Youyou Hu, Yasutaka Chiba, Myron Schwartz and 3 more

Open access · greenAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 41 citations in OpenAlex.

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  15. Cancers · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 9 institutions in 6 countries.

Masatoshi Kudo *Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Kindai University Faculty of Medicine, Osaka, Japan.
Robert Montal *Department of Medical Oncology, Cancer Biomarkers Research Group, Hospital Universitari Arnau de Vilanova - IRBLleida, Lleida, Catalonia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-8455-4232
Richard S FinnDivision of Hematology/Oncology, University of California, Los Angeles, California.
Florian CastetLiver Cancer Translational Research Group, Liver Unit, IDIBAPS, Hospital Clinic University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-5416-5383
Kazuomi UeshimaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Kindai University Faculty of Medicine, Osaka, Japan.
Naoshi NishidaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Kindai University Faculty of Medicine, Osaka, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-9111-5668
Philipp K HaberMount Sinai Liver Cancer Program, Division of Liver Diseases, Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.ORCID 0000-0001-9685-9562
Youyou HuROCHE, Basel, Switzerland.
Yasutaka ChibaClinical Research Center, Division of Biostatistics, Kindai University Hospital, Osaka, Japan.
Myron SchwartzMount Sinai Liver Cancer Program, Division of Liver Diseases, Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.ORCID 0000-0002-9113-886X
Tim MeyerUCL Cancer Institute, University College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-0782-8647
Riccardo LencioniUniversity of Pisa School of Medicine, Pisa, Italy.
Josep M LlovetLiver Cancer Translational Research Group, Liver Unit, IDIBAPS, Hospital Clinic University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-0547-2667
Kindai University Hospital · JPTisch Hospital · USHospital Clínic de Barcelona · ESHospital Universitari Arnau de Vilanova · ESInstitució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats · ESRoche (Switzerland) · CHThe Royal Free Hospital · GBUniversity of California, Los Angeles · USUniversity of Pisa · IT

Funding

THE TISCH CANCER INSTITUTE - CANCER CENTER SUPPORT GRANTP30CA196521 · NCI · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI Deanna L Benson · 2015 to 2026
$35.4M
Cancer Research UK 26813Cancer Research UK C9380/A26813NCI NIH HHS P30 CA196521
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeBecause of the increased number of sequential treatments used for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), there is a need for surrogate endpoints of overall survival (OS). We analyze whether objective response (OR) is an independent predictor and surrogate endpoint of OS. PATIENTS AND

methodsA systematic review of randomized clinical trials (RCT) in advanced HCC published between 2010 and 2020 was conducted to explore OS surrogacy of OR by Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) and modified RECIST (mRECIST). In parallel, RCTs exploring the impact of OR on OS in a time-dependent multivariate analysis were integrated in a meta-analysis.

resultsOf 65 RCTs identified in advanced HCC, we analyzed 34 studies including 14,056 patients that reported OS and OR by either RECIST (n = 23), mRECIST (n = 5), or both (n = 6). When exploring surrogacy, the trial-level correlation between OR odds ratio and OS HR was R = 0.677 by mRECIST and R = 0.532 by RECIST. Meta-analysis of five RCTs assessing predictors of survival in multivariate analysis found that patients with OR by mRECIST presented a pooled HR for OS of 0.44 (95% confidence interval, 0.27-0.70; P < 0.001) compared with nonresponders. Responses to atezolizumab-bevacizumab had a greater impact on OS than tyrosine kinase inhibitor responses.

conclusionsOR-mRECIST is an independent predictor of OS in patients with advanced HCC. Although correlation of OR-mRECIST and OS is better than with OR-RECIST, the level of surrogacy is modest. Thus, it can be used as endpoint in proof-of-concept phase II trials, but the data do not support its use as a primary endpoint of phase III investigations assessing systemic therapies.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic AgentsCarcinoma, HepatocellularLiver NeoplasmsBiomarkersHumansRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicResponse Evaluation Criteria in Solid TumorsSurvival AnalysisAntineoplastic AgentsBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID34907081
PMCPMC12951728
OpenAlexW4200218890

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.