Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34906188›Full record

ArticleConflict and health2021

The impact of armed conflict on utilisation of health services in north-west Syria: an observational study.

Abdulkarim Ekzayez, Yasser Alhaj Ahmad, Hasan Alhaleb, Francesco Checchi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Conflict and health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
51citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

51 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Abdulkarim EkzayezResearch for Health System Strengthening in Northern Syria (R4HSSS), War Studies Department, Faculty of Social Science and Public Policy, King's College London, Room K6.08, King's Building, Strand Campus, Strand, London, WC2R 2LS, UK. Abdulkarim.ekzayez@kcl.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2104-3363
Yasser Alhaj AhmadHealth Programme, Save the Children International, North West Syria Response, Antakya, Turkey.
Hasan AlhalebMonitoring and Evaluation Department, Syria Relief Charity, Antakya, Turkey.
Francesco ChecchiDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Funding

national institute for health research 131207
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundArmed conflicts are known to have detrimental impact on availability and accessibility of health services. However, little is known on potential impact on utilisation of these services and health seeking behaviour. This study examines whether exposure to different types of war incidents affected utilisation of key health services-outpatient consultations, antenatal care, deliveries, and C-sections, in conflict affected areas of north west Syria between 1 October 2014 and 30 June 2017.

methodsThe study is an observational study using routinely collected data of 597,675 medical consultations and a database on conflict incidents that has 11,396 events. Longitudinal panel data analysis was used with fixed effect negative binomial regression for the monthly analysis and distributed lag model with a lag period of 30 days for the daily analysis.

resultsThe study found strong evidence for a negative association between bombardments and both consultations and antenatal care visits. The monthly Risk Ratio was 0.95 (95% CI 0.94-0.97) and 0.95 (95% CI 0.93-0.98); and the cumulative daily RR at 30 days was 0.19 (95% CI 0.15-0.25) and 0.42 (95% CI 0.25-0.69) for consultations and antenatal care respectively. Explosions were found to be positively associated with deliveries and C-sections. Each one unit increase in explosions in a given month in a given village was associated with about 20% increase in deliveries and C-sections; RR was 1.22 (95% CI 1.05-1.42) and 1.96 (95% CI 1.03-3.74) respectively.

conclusionThe study found that access to healthcare in affected areas in Syria during the study period has been limited. The study provides evidence that conflict incidents were associated negatively with the utilisation of routine health services, such as outpatient consultations and antenatal care. Whereas conflict incidents were found to be positively associated with emergency type maternity services-deliveries, and C-sections.

Identifiers

PMID34906188
PMCPMC8670035

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.