Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34905463›Full record

ArticleHuman vaccines & immunotherapeutics2021

Long-term efficacy data for the recombinant zoster vaccine: impact on public health and cost effectiveness in Germany.

Desmond Curran, Desirée Van Oorschot, Sean Matthews, Johannes Hain, Ahmed Ehab Salem, Magdalena Schwarz

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Unlocking herpes zoster vaccination value in Finland: return on investment and actuarial model.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Desmond CurranValue Evidence, GSK, Wavre, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-7423-0111
Desirée Van OorschotValue Evidence, GSK, Wavre, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-0382-0333
Sean MatthewsValue Evidence Freelance c/o GSK, Wavre, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-7427-7326
Johannes HainVaccines, GSK, München, Germany.
Ahmed Ehab SalemValue Evidence, GSK, Wavre, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0003-0704-8085
Magdalena SchwarzVaccines, GSK, München, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-4850-8597
GlaxoSmithKline (Belgium) · BEGlaxoSmithKline (Germany) · DEUniversidad Evangélica de las Américas · CR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The aim of the study was to update previously published public health impact and cost-effectiveness analyses of the recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV), in the German population aged ≥50 years of age (YOA), with the latest vaccine efficacy (VE) estimates against herpes zoster (HZ). The updated estimates are derived from a long-term follow-up study. A previously published multi-cohort Markov model following age cohorts over their lifetime was used. Demographic, epidemiological, cost, and utility data were based on German specific sources. Vaccine coverage was assumed to be 40%, with a second dose compliance of 70%. The estimated VE at time 0 was 98.9% (95% C.I.: 94.0-100%) with an annual waning of 1.5% (95% CI: 0.0-3.4%) for the age group 50-69 YOA. Corresponding values were 95.4% (95% C.I.: 89.7-100%) and 2.3% (95% CI: 0.3-4.4%) for the age group ≥70 YOA. It was estimated that, over the remaining lifetime since vaccination, RZV would prevent approximately 884 thousand (K), 603 K, and 538 K HZ cases in three age cohorts 50-59, 60-69, and ≥70 YOA, respectively. The number needed to vaccinate to prevent one HZ and one postherpetic neuralgia case was 6 and 36 (50-59 YOA cohort), 6 and 34 (60-69 YOA cohort), 10 and 48 (≥70 YOA cohort). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of vaccination ranged from €26 K/quality-adjusted life year (QALY) in 60 YOA to €35 K/QALY in 70 YOA. Due to the higher, sustained, RZV VE, improved public health and cost-effectiveness results were observed compared to previous analyses.

Indexed as

Herpes ZosterHerpes Zoster VaccineNeuralgia, PostherpeticCost-Benefit AnalysisFollow-Up StudiesGermanyHerpesvirus 3, HumanHumansMiddle AgedPublic HealthVaccinationVaccines, SyntheticHerpes Zoster VaccineVaccines, Syntheticcost effectivenessHerpes zosternumber needed to vaccinatepublic health impactvaccination

Identifiers

PMID34905463
PMCPMC8904019
OpenAlexW4200219364

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.