ArticleDemography2022
Multiple Perspectives on Recent Trends in Unwanted Fertility in Low- and Middle-Income Countries.
Article in Demography, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Armed Conflict and Unwanted Births in Colombia.Journal of health and social behavior · 2026Article
- Undesired Births, Contraception, and Abortion Before and After the Cairo Consensus: Trends in Conditional Undesired Birth Rates and the Impact of Contraception and Abortion.Studies in family planning · 2025Article
- Unintended pregnancy and gender inequality worldwide: an ecological analysis.BMJ global health · 2025Review
- Fertility Desires and Contraceptive Transition.Population and development review · 2024Article
- Exploring machine learning algorithms for predicting fertility preferences among reproductive age women in Nigeria.Frontiers in digital health · 2024Article
- Fertility Preferences and Contraceptive Change in Low- and Middle-Income Countries.Studies in family planning · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The last four decades have witnessed large declines in fertility globally. This study uses data from 78 low- and middle-income countries to examine concurrent trends in unwanted fertility. Three measures of unwanted fertility are contrasted: the conventional unwanted total fertility rate, a proposed conditional unwanted fertility rate, and the percentage of births unwanted. Incidence of unwanted births and prevalence of exposure to unwanted births are both derived from answers to questions on prospective fertility preference, recognized as the most valid and reliable survey measure of preferences. Country-level trends are modeled both historically and with the decline in total fertility, with a focus on regional differentials. Results show that unwanted fertility rates-especially the conditional unwanted fertility rate-have declined substantially in recent decades. By contrast, the percentage of births unwanted has declined less, remaining stable or even increasing: from a birth cohort perspective, declines in unwanted fertility have been far more modest than the increased parental success in avoiding unwanted births. The regional patterns suggest that sub-Saharan Africa has several similarities with other major regions but also some peculiar features, including a recent stall in the decline of unwanted fertility that persists after controlling for the stage of fertility transition.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.