Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34903658›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Epidemic tracking and forecasting: Lessons learned from a tumultuous year.

Roni Rosenfeld, Ryan J Tibshirani

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Proteomics in the Diagnosis of Viral and Pathogenic Infections.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Bias-Adjusted Predictions of County-Level Vaccination Coverage from the COVID-19 Trends and Impact Survey.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. The role of models in the covid-19 pandemic.Israel journal of health policy research · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. COVIDNearTerm: A simple method to forecast COVID-19 hospitalizations.Journal of clinical and translational science · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Roni RosenfeldMachine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213.
Ryan J TibshiraniMachine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213; ryantibs@cmu.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-2158-8304

Funding

Delphi Influenza Forecasting Center of ExcellenceU01IP001121 · IP · CARNEGIE-MELLON UNIVERSITY · PI ROSENFELD, RONALD · 2019 to 2023
$4.8M
ACL HHS U01IP001121NCIRD CDC HHS U01 IP001121
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

PubMed holds no abstract for this paper.

Indexed as

COVID-19EpidemicsEpidemiologic MethodsForecastingHumansReview Literature as TopicSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34903658
PMCPMC8713795

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.